{"id":45965,"date":"2019-05-05T09:31:55","date_gmt":"2019-05-05T14:31:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=45965"},"modified":"2019-05-05T09:31:58","modified_gmt":"2019-05-05T14:31:58","slug":"uncertain-future-for-monetary-policy-as-potus-publicly-calls-for-rate-cut-while-fed-holds-steady","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=45965","title":{"rendered":"Uncertain Future for Monetary Policy as POTUS Publicly Calls for Rate Cut While Fed Holds Steady"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"trump<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Photo<\/a>\u00a0by The White House <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uncertain Future for Monetary Policy as POTUS Publicly Calls for Rate Cut While Fed Holds Steady<\/a><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

On Tuesday, POTUS took to Twitter and called for the Fed to cut rates by 1%, pointing to 3.2% GDP growth and \u201cwonderfully low inflation.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/strong>\u2714<\/strong><\/a><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

China is adding great stimulus to its economy while at the same time keeping interest rates low. Our Federal Reserve has incessantly lifted interest rates, even though inflation is very low, and instituted a very big dose of quantitative tightening. We have the potential to go…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/strong>\u2714<\/strong><\/a><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

….up like a rocket if we did some lowering of rates, like one point, and some quantitative easing. Yes, we are doing very well at 3.2% GDP, but with our wonderfully low inflation, we could be setting major records &, at the same time, make our National Debt start to look small!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it\u2019s hard to say if inflation is as \u201cwonderfully low\u201d as POTUS claims.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After all, official sources saw CPI inflation jump to 1.9%<\/a>, with rapidly rising food prices reported as the leading cause. Plus, the \u201cgrowing\u201d economy POTUS alludes to appears to have topped out since January 2018 (see red arrow in the chart below \u2013 source<\/a>):<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"DJIA<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Additionally, according to an official source<\/a>, a 3.2% or higher GDP growth rate has happened on 3 different<\/strong>occasions before<\/em> POTUS took office. The same source also reports that GDP Growth Rate in the United States averaged 3.22 percent from 1947 until 2019<\/em>. So really, current GDP growth only appears to be on par with the average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

White House officials including POTUS and top economic advisor Larry Kudlow have recommended the Fed cut rates by half a point in the past. Despite all the information above, CNBC reports that<\/a>, with his 1% cut recommendation, POTUS has \u201cdoubled down\u201d on this approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Photo\u00a0by The White House Uncertain Future for Monetary Policy as POTUS Publicly Calls for Rate Cut While Fed Holds Steady On Tuesday, POTUS took to Twitter and called for the Fed to cut rates by 1%, pointing to 3.2% GDP growth and \u201cwonderfully low inflation.\u201d \u2714 China is adding great stimulus to its economy while […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[124,7844,303,16356,662],"class_list":["post-45965","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-central-banks","tag-donald-trump","tag-fed","tag-potus","tag-quantitative-easing"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45965","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45965"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45965\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45966,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45965\/revisions\/45966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}