{"id":45526,"date":"2019-04-20T10:51:55","date_gmt":"2019-04-20T15:51:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=45526"},"modified":"2019-04-20T10:51:57","modified_gmt":"2019-04-20T15:51:57","slug":"whats-your-carbon-budget-you-probably-dont-want-to-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=45526","title":{"rendered":"What\u2019s Your Carbon Budget? You Probably Don\u2019t Want to Know"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thetyee.ca\/Analysis\/2019\/04\/18\/Carbon-Budget-Fighting-Chance\/\">What\u2019s Your Carbon Budget? You Probably Don\u2019t Want to Know<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>But if politicians ran governments on them, the planet might have a fighting chance.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thetyee.ca\/Analysis\/2019\/04\/18\/CrawfordCarbonBudget.jpg\" alt=\"CrawfordCarbonBudget.jpg\"\/><figcaption>Live within your carbon means.&nbsp;Photo via Shutterstock.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Conservative politicians are happily fighting carbon taxes and generally ignoring the issue of global warming. At the same time, an uneasy feeling is rippling through the climate-science community these days.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After decades of cautiously understating the consequences of global warming, their models are now showing temperature increases far higher than anyone expected. And other projections show that Canada, including British Columbia, is going to get a lot hotter than, say, San Francisco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A news story in&nbsp;<em>Science<\/em>&nbsp;magazine recently&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/news\/2019\/04\/new-climate-models-predict-warming-surge\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">reported<\/a>&nbsp;that computer models of future climate are \u201crunning hotter\u201d than they used to.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Older models projected temperature increases of 2 C to 4.5 C with a doubling of preindustrial carbon dioxide levels. Now at least eight models, generated in the U.S., Britain, France, and Canada, predict \u201cequilibrium climate sensitivity\u201d at 5 C or even higher. That is, temperatures won\u2019t level off at 1.5 C or 2 C, as the Paris Accord requires. Instead they will keep climbing until our collective goose is well and truly cooked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The story quotes John Fyfe of the University of Victoria\u2019s Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, as saying, \u201cIt\u2019s a bit too early to get wound up\u2026 But maybe we have to face a reality in the future that\u2019s more pessimistic than it was in the past.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The centre\u2019s model, like the others, is being developed for the 2021 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Unless these forecasts are drastically revised, the IPCC report will bring very unwelcome news \u2014 especially to our federal and provincial governments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What\u2019s Your Carbon Budget? You Probably Don\u2019t Want to Know But if politicians ran governments on them, the planet might have a fighting chance. Conservative politicians are happily fighting carbon taxes and generally ignoring the issue of global warming. At the same time, an uneasy feeling is rippling through the climate-science community these days.&nbsp; After [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,4],"tags":[25674,113,11528,23884],"class_list":["post-45526","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-2","category-environment","tag-carbon-budget","tag-carbon-emissions","tag-crawford-kilian","tag-thetyee-ca"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45526","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45526"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45526\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45527,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45526\/revisions\/45527"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45526"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45526"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45526"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}