{"id":45436,"date":"2019-04-17T07:31:42","date_gmt":"2019-04-17T12:31:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=45436"},"modified":"2019-04-17T07:31:46","modified_gmt":"2019-04-17T12:31:46","slug":"japanified-world-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=45436","title":{"rendered":"Japanified World Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Japanified World Ahead<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Losing Decades<\/a>
Too Much, Too Fast<\/a>
A $10 Trillion Federal Reserve Balance Sheet<\/a>
Mastering Private Markets<\/a>
Living on Puerto Rico Time<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regular readers may have noticed me slowly losing confidence in the economy. Your impression is correct and there\u2019s a good reason for it, as I will explain today. The facts have changed so my conclusions are changing, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I still think the economy is okay for now. I still see recession odds rising considerably in 2020. Maybe it will get pushed back another year or two, but at some point this growth phase will end, either in recession or an extended flat period (even flatter than the last decade, which says a lot). And I still think we are headed toward a global credit crisis I\u2019ve dubbed The Great Reset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What\u2019s evolved is my judgment on the coming slowdown\u2019s severity and duration. I think the rest of the world will enter a period something like Japan endured following 1990, and is still grappling with today. It won\u2019t be the end of the world; Japan is still there, but the little growth it\u2019s had was due mainly to exports. That won\u2019t work when every major economy is in the same position.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Describing this decline as \u201cJapanification\u201d may be unfair to Japan but it\u2019s the best paradigm we have. The good news is it will spread slowly. The bad news is it will end slowly, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I believe we will avoid literal blood in the streets but it will be a challenging time. We\u2019ll be discussing how to get through it more specifically at the Strategic Investment Conference next month. It is now sold out but you can still buy a Virtual Pass that includes audio and video of almost the whole event. Click here for information<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Losing Decades<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00a0\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Japanified World Ahead Losing DecadesToo Much, Too FastA $10 Trillion Federal Reserve Balance SheetMastering Private MarketsLiving on Puerto Rico Time Regular readers may have noticed me slowly losing confidence in the economy. Your impression is correct and there\u2019s a good reason for it, as I will explain today. The facts have changed so my conclusions […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[25639,452,25531,8226,7758,1264],"class_list":["post-45436","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-j-john-mauldin","tag-japan","tag-japanification","tag-john-mauldin","tag-mauldin-economics","tag-recession"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45436","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45436"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45436\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45437,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45436\/revisions\/45437"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45436"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45436"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45436"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}