{"id":44816,"date":"2019-03-27T09:38:58","date_gmt":"2019-03-27T14:38:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=44816"},"modified":"2019-03-27T09:40:49","modified_gmt":"2019-03-27T14:40:49","slug":"just-before-the-great-recession-mountains-of-unsold-goods-piled-up-in-u-s-warehouses-and-now-it-is-happening-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=44816","title":{"rendered":"Just Before The Great Recession, Mountains Of Unsold Goods Piled Up In U.S. Warehouses \u2013 And Now It Is Happening Again"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"http:\/\/theeconomiccollapseblog.com\/archives\/just-before-the-great-recession-mountains-of-unsold-goods-piled-up-in-u-s-warehouses-and-now-it-is-happening-again\">Just Before The Great Recession, Mountains Of Unsold Goods Piled Up In U.S. Warehouses \u2013 And Now It Is Happening Again<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/theeconomiccollapseblog.com\/archives\/just-before-the-great-recession-mountains-of-unsold-goods-piled-up-in-u-s-warehouses-and-now-it-is-happening-again\/warehouse-public-domain#main\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/theeconomiccollapseblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Warehouse-Public-Domain-540x304.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15119\"\/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>When economic conditions initially begin to slow down, businesses continue to order goods like they normally would but those goods don\u2019t sell as quickly as they previously did.&nbsp; As a result, inventory levels begin to rise, and that is precisely what is happening right now.&nbsp; In fact, the U.S. inventory to sales ratio has risen sharply&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wolfstreet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/US-wholesale-inventory-sales-durable-goods-2012_2019-01.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">for five months in a row<\/a>.&nbsp; This is mirroring the pattern that we witnessed just prior to the financial crisis of 2008, and it is exactly what we would expect to see&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/theeconomiccollapseblog.com\/archives\/wall-street-red-flag-a-bond-market-indicator-that-has-predicted-every-recession-in-the-last-50-years-just-got-triggered\">if a new recession was now beginning<\/a>.&nbsp; In recent weeks, I have been sharing&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/theeconomiccollapseblog.com\/archives\/new-numbers-confirm-that-the-global-economy-and-the-u-s-economy-are-the-weakest-they-have-been-since-the-last-recession\">number after number<\/a>&nbsp;that indicates that a serious economic slowdown is upon us, and many believe that what is coming will eventually be even worse than what we experienced in 2008.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And even though I write about this stuff every day, I was stunned by how rapidly inventory levels have been rising recently.&nbsp; The following numbers come from&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/schiffgold.com\/key-gold-news\/another-bad-sign-for-the-economy-wholesale-inventories-surge-again\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Peter Schiff\u2019s website<\/a>\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>This comes on the heels of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/schiffgold.com\/key-gold-news\/wholesale-inventories-post-biggest-gain-in-5-years-another-sign-of-slowing-economy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the largest gain in wholesale inventories in more than five years<\/a>&nbsp;in December.<\/p><p><strong>Inventories rose 7.7% from a year ago in January<\/strong>. Meanwhile, sales only rose by 2.7%. Overall, total inventories were $669.9 billion at the end of January, up 1.2% from the revised December level.<\/p><p>The increase in durable goods inventories at the wholesale level was even starker.&nbsp;<strong>These inventories were up 11.7% from January a year ago, and are up 17% from January two years ago, hitting $415 billion, the highest ever<\/strong>.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Businesses don\u2019t like to have excess inventory, because carrying excess inventory is expensive and cuts into profits.&nbsp; So they try very hard to manage their inventories efficiently, but if the economy slows down unexpectedly&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxstreet.com\/analysis\/wholesale-inventories-surge-sales-dont-bond-market-panic-201903241402\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">that can catch them off guard<\/a>\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Just Before The Great Recession, Mountains Of Unsold Goods Piled Up In U.S. Warehouses \u2013 And Now It Is Happening Again When economic conditions initially begin to slow down, businesses continue to order goods like they normally would but those goods don\u2019t sell as quickly as they previously did.&nbsp; As a result, inventory levels begin [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[21635,7662,24827,2310,7450,11744,24829,6061,312,24831,24828,4232,24832,963,1264,22210,24833,7452,11689,24830,24834],"class_list":["post-44816","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-21635","tag-businesses","tag-depressed","tag-depression","tag-economic-conditions","tag-economic-slowdown","tag-excess-inventory","tag-financial","tag-financial-crisis","tag-financial-crisis-2019","tag-financial-crisis-of-2008","tag-inventory","tag-inventory-to-sales-ratio","tag-peter-schiff","tag-recession","tag-recession-2019","tag-selling-excess-inventory","tag-the-economic-collapse-blog","tag-the-great-recession","tag-unsold-goods","tag-warehouses"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44816","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=44816"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44816\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44817,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44816\/revisions\/44817"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=44816"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=44816"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=44816"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}