{"id":44375,"date":"2019-03-10T11:25:15","date_gmt":"2019-03-10T16:25:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=44375"},"modified":"2019-03-10T11:25:18","modified_gmt":"2019-03-10T16:25:18","slug":"oil-market-about-to-enter-supply-deficit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=44375","title":{"rendered":"Oil Market About To Enter Supply Deficit"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Energy-General\/Oil-Market-About-To-Enter-Supply-Deficit.html\">Oil Market About To Enter Supply Deficit<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/d32r1sh890xpii.cloudfront.net\/article\/718x300\/a61683f9bea76f7c939e79f3c77cb6de.jpg\" alt=\"Refinery China\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the latest edition of the Numbers Report, we\u2019ll take a look at some of the most interesting figures put out this week in the energy and metals sectors. Each week we\u2019ll dig into some data and provide a bit of explanation on what drives the numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let\u2019s take a look.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>1. Oil market entering supply deficit<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d32r1sh890xpii.cloudfront.net\/tinymce\/2019-03\/1552087440-o_1d5fptk0l124ajve154d1vrr1ghk8.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/d32r1sh890xpii.cloudfront.net\/tinymce\/2019-03\/1552087440-o_1d5fptk0l124ajve154d1vrr1ghk8.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 The OPEC+ cuts have likely already tipped the oil market into a supply deficit, according to Barclays.<br>\u2022 OECD inventories fell dramatically over the past two years, and came back to the five-year average in 2018, where they have mostly remained.&nbsp;<br>\u2022 The OPEC+ cuts quickly headed off a renewed surplus, and will likely drain inventories over the course of this year. Inventories are set to fall below the five-year average.<br>\u2022 Still, Barclays says the market return to balance or even a small surplus in the second half of 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>2. China\u2019s oil demand not collapsing<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d32r1sh890xpii.cloudfront.net\/tinymce\/2019-03\/1552087386-o_1d5fprul51t1556k1bru1lho1rq78.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/d32r1sh890xpii.cloudfront.net\/tinymce\/2019-03\/1552087386-o_1d5fprul51t1556k1bru1lho1rq78.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 Some of the more catastrophic oil forecasts for 2019 centered on a sharp slowdown in Chinese demand.&nbsp;<br>\u2022 China\u2019s car sales actually contracted year-on-year over the last few months, and car sales could continue to fall this year.&nbsp;<br>\u2022 But China\u2019s demand, while slowing relative to years past, is still expected to grow by 0.5 mb\/d in 2019, according to Barclays, the same rate of expansion as 2018.<br>\u2022 Next year, however, China\u2019s demand growth could slow a bit more, dipping below 0.4 mb\/d, continuing a gradual deceleration in demand growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>3. Cobalt oversupplied, but in high demand<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d32r1sh890xpii.cloudfront.net\/tinymce\/2019-03\/1552087358-o_1d5fpr43c1khf1mkk1dbc14h5krp8.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/d32r1sh890xpii.cloudfront.net\/tinymce\/2019-03\/1552087358-o_1d5fpr43c1khf1mkk1dbc14h5krp8.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 Kobold Metals, a startup backed by Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos, is hoping to build a \u201cGoogle Maps for the earth\u2019s crust,\u201d according to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2019-03-04\/algorithms-join-hunt-for-cobalt-backed-by-gates-bezos-and-dalio\">Bloomberg<\/a>.<br>\u2022 The company is building a database of geological data on cobalt, a metal that is often overlooked but is increasingly important to batteries in electric vehicles and the broader shift towards clean energy.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oil Market About To Enter Supply Deficit In the latest edition of the Numbers Report, we\u2019ll take a look at some of the most interesting figures put out this week in the energy and metals sectors. Each week we\u2019ll dig into some data and provide a bit of explanation on what drives the numbers. Let\u2019s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[589,24001],"class_list":["post-44375","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-2","tag-oil-demand","tag-oil-supply-deficit"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44375","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=44375"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44375\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44376,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44375\/revisions\/44376"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=44375"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=44375"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=44375"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}