{"id":44205,"date":"2019-03-05T12:22:04","date_gmt":"2019-03-05T17:22:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=44205"},"modified":"2019-03-05T12:22:10","modified_gmt":"2019-03-05T17:22:10","slug":"dont-believe-the-hype-expect-a-worsening-of-u-s-china-relations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=44205","title":{"rendered":"Don\u2019t Believe the Hype \u2013 Expect a Worsening of U.S.-China Relations"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Don\u2019t Believe the Hype \u2013 Expect a Worsening of U.S.-China Relations<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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If you receive your news via Donald Trump tweet, or courtesy of proclamations by Larry Kudlow, you\u2019d be forgiven for eagerly anticipating a groundbreaking U.S.-China trade deal to be announced imminently, and thinking such a deal will save the global economy from rolling over into a serious downturn as well as pacify geopolitical tensions between the number one and number two economies in the world. However, if you expect these things, I don\u2019t think you\u2019re paying attention.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Before we get a little into the weeds, let me be clear that I have no idea what Trump and Xi will, or will not, announce regarding trade. Trump seems fanatically obsessed with the stock market, and Xi\u2019s been dealing with an economy in a tailspin. It\u2019s certainly possible they come up with some sort of agreement they think will restore confidence in the global economy and convince people the last few months were nothing more than a \u201cglitch.\u201d It\u2019s also important to understand this positive outcome appears to be assumed by the stock market and investors generally. Anything less might be seen as a colossal disappointment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The purpose of this post is not to predict the outcome of any particular trade negotiation. It could go in a lot of different ways and I have no edge in forecasting it. Rather, the purpose of this post is to express in no uncertain terms the view that U.S.-China relations will deteriorate substantially from here in the years ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For a little background to this perspective, I suggest reading December\u2019s post, Is U.S. Geopolitical Strategy Experiencing a Monumental Shift?<\/a><\/strong>, in which I concluded:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Don\u2019t Believe the Hype \u2013 Expect a Worsening of U.S.-China Relations If you receive your news via Donald Trump tweet, or courtesy of proclamations by Larry Kudlow, you\u2019d be forgiven for eagerly anticipating a groundbreaking U.S.-China trade deal to be announced imminently, and thinking such a deal will save the global economy from rolling over […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[130,20413,4285,6174,6392],"class_list":["post-44205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitics","tag-china","tag-larry-kudlow","tag-liberty-blitzkrieg","tag-michael-krieger","tag-xi-jinping"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=44205"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44205\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44206,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44205\/revisions\/44206"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=44205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=44205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=44205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}