{"id":43262,"date":"2019-01-28T10:11:00","date_gmt":"2019-01-28T15:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=43262"},"modified":"2019-01-28T10:12:50","modified_gmt":"2019-01-28T15:12:50","slug":"has-u-s-shale-oil-entered-a-death-spiral","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=43262","title":{"rendered":"Has U.S. shale oil entered a death spiral?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"http:\/\/resourceinsights.blogspot.com\/2019\/01\/has-us-shale-oil-entered-death-spiral.html\">Has U.S. shale oil entered a death spiral?<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bad news coming out of the shale oil fields of America could all be put down to slumping oil prices. That is certainly a big factor. But as investment professionals like to say, when the tide goes out, we all find out who&#8217;s been skinny-dipping.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The pattern of negative news from shale country is not just related to price, however. Oil production, it seems, is being overstated industry-wide by 10 percent and 50 percent in the case of some companies, according to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/frackings-secret-problemoil-wells-arent-producing-as-much-as-forecast-11546450162\"><em>The Wall Street Journal<\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The CEO of one of the largest players in the industry, Continental Resources, predicted that&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Crude-Oil\/Shale-Pioneer-Hamm-Growth-Could-Fall-By-Half.html\">growth in shale oil production could fall by 50 percent this year compared to last year.<\/a>&nbsp;In reality, we should expect worse as the industry for obvious reasons tends to exaggerate its prospects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The place where the damage to investors has become severe is in private equity firms who hold a large portion of the shale oil industry&#8217;s high-yield debt. The plan for the firms was always to unload the debt on somebody else when better opportunities presented themselves. But the firms overstayed their welcome and are&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2019-01-24\/its-terrible-out-there-lack-greater-shale-fools-leaves-private-equity-bidless-panic\">having a hard time even finding a bid in the market for these bonds.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With the big Wall Street players now questioning the value of their existing investments in shale oil, the industry is finding it hard to raise money.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2019-01-24\/its-terrible-out-there-lack-greater-shale-fools-leaves-private-equity-bidless-panic\">Not a single bond sale has come off since November<\/a>&nbsp;in an industry which must continuously raise capital to survive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Has U.S. shale oil entered a death spiral? The bad news coming out of the shale oil fields of America could all be put down to slumping oil prices. That is certainly a big factor. But as investment professionals like to say, when the tide goes out, we all find out who&#8217;s been skinny-dipping. The [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[4752,4967,723,827,860],"class_list":["post-43262","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-2","tag-kurt-cobb","tag-resource-insights","tag-shale-oil","tag-united-states","tag-wall-street"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43262","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=43262"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43262\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43263,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43262\/revisions\/43263"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=43262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=43262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=43262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}