{"id":43047,"date":"2019-01-21T13:58:06","date_gmt":"2019-01-21T18:58:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=43047"},"modified":"2019-01-21T14:02:15","modified_gmt":"2019-01-21T19:02:15","slug":"brexit-eu-germany-china-and-yellow-vests-in-2019-something-wicked-this-way-comes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=43047","title":{"rendered":"Brexit, EU, Germany, China and Yellow Vests In 2019 \u2013 Something Wicked This Way Comes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/news.goldcore.com\/us\/gold-blog\/brexit-eu-germany-china-and-yellow-vests-in-2019-something-wicked-this-way-comes\/\">Brexit, EU, Germany, China and Yellow Vests In 2019 \u2013 Something Wicked This Way Comes\u00a0<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2013 \u201cSomething wicked this way comes\u201d warns John Mauldin<br>\u2013 Shaky China:&nbsp;Chinese landing could be harder than expected<\/strong><br><strong>\u2013 Brexit and EU Breakage: \u201cI have long thought the EU will eventually fall apart\u201d<\/strong><br><strong>\u2013 Helpless Europe:&nbsp;If Germany sneezes, their banks &amp; the rest of continent catches cold<br>\u2013 We may see \u201cyellow vests\u201d spread globally: Economics is about to get interesting \u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/news.goldcore.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2019\/01\/germany-gdp.png?x64374\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><br><em>Source:<\/em>&nbsp;<em>TradingEconomics.com<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For a couple of years now, the economic narrative has shown a comparatively strong US against weakness in Europe and some of Asia (NOT China). The US, we are told, will stay on top. I agree with that, as far as it goes\u2026 but I\u2019m not convinced the \u201ctop\u201d will be so great.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Americans like to think we are insulated from the world. We have big oceans on either side of us. Geopolitically, they serve as buffers. But economically they connect us to other important markets that are critical to many US businesses. Problems in those markets are ultimately problems for the US, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last week I gave you my&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mauldineconomics.com\/frontlinethoughts\/the-year-of-living-dangerously\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Year of Living Dangerously<\/a>&nbsp;2019 US forecast, but I didn\u2019t discuss important events overseas. Summarizing last week quickly, I think the base case is that the United States economy slows down but avoids recession in 2019. That said, there are significant risks to that forecast, mostly to the downside.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we\u2019ll make another literary metaphor to frame our discussion. \u201cSomething Wicked This Way Comes\u201d is a 1962 Ray Bradbury novel about two boys and their horrifying encounter with a travelling circus. Later it was a movie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In our case, something wicked most certainly is coming this way. Several somethings, in fact, approaching from all directions. The real question is how much damage this circus will do before it leaves town.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Shaky China<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brexit, EU, Germany, China and Yellow Vests In 2019 \u2013 Something Wicked This Way Comes\u00a0 \u2013 \u201cSomething wicked this way comes\u201d warns John Mauldin\u2013 Shaky China:&nbsp;Chinese landing could be harder than expected\u2013 Brexit and EU Breakage: \u201cI have long thought the EU will eventually fall apart\u201d\u2013 Helpless Europe:&nbsp;If Germany sneezes, their banks &amp; the rest [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5,6],"tags":[5582,130,5613,8226,21625],"class_list":["post-43047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-geopolitics","category-liberty","tag-brexit","tag-china","tag-goldcore","tag-john-mauldin","tag-thoughts-from-the-frontline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43047","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=43047"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43047\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43048,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43047\/revisions\/43048"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=43047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=43047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=43047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}