{"id":42646,"date":"2019-01-12T12:58:44","date_gmt":"2019-01-12T17:58:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=42646"},"modified":"2019-01-12T12:58:44","modified_gmt":"2019-01-12T17:58:44","slug":"economic-breakdown-starts-in-east-asia-due-to-collapsed-births-childbearing-populations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=42646","title":{"rendered":"Economic Breakdown Starts In East Asia due to Collapsed Births & Childbearing Populations"},"content":{"rendered":"

Economic Breakdown Starts In East Asia due to Collapsed Births & Childbearing Populations<\/a><\/h3>\n
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The floor under the East Asia neighborhood\u00a0(consisting of China, Japan, South \/ North Korea, Taiwan, & Mongolia) is about to fall away.\u00a0 These nations (combined) equal slightly more than 20% of the global population and consume 27% of total global energy.\u00a0 From 2000 through 2016, this region (spearheaded by China) represented 48% of the global growth in total energy consumption.\u00a0 So, when I tell you these countries\u00a0are economically entering long-term\u00a0domestic declines (or perhaps outright collapses), the impacts will reverberate everywhere.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\nWhy domestic economic decline or collapse?\u00a0 This is simply following a\u00a0massive population decline which has already taken place (past tense).\u00a0 The chart below details the 44% fall in births since the double peaks seen in East Asia in\u00a0’67 and ’89.\u00a0 This is an ongoing\u00a0birth dearth\u00a0of over 14 million fewer\u00a0annually, since 1995.\u00a0 Now this birth dearth will be compounded by the rapidly falling childbearing population of 15 to 39yr\/olds, represented by the red line below\u00a0(I exclude the 40+yr\/olds because they simply have so few children as to simply create distraction).\u00a0 By 2035, the East Asia child bearing population will decline by 30% or -202 million (no estimation, this population is already born and\u00a0will\u00a0just\u00a0shift forward).\u00a0 Absent some seismic shift (or\u00a0turning away\u00a0from the inflationary urbanization underway?), births will continue to tumble and national populations will ultimately likewise crumble.
\nNoteworthy above\u00a0is\u00a0the low water mark of just 15 million\u00a0births in 1996…and the muted L shaped aftermath.\u00a0 Those born in 1996 will be 23 years old in 2019, or generally entering adulthood.\u00a0 On an annual basis, this is a relatively sudden 50%+ decline in new adults, new potential employees, new potential parents, new potential consumers entering the economy…and this is just the start of the “new normal”.<\/div>\n
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\u00a0\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Economic Breakdown Starts In East Asia due to Collapsed Births & Childbearing Populations The floor under the East Asia neighborhood\u00a0(consisting of China, Japan, South \/ North Korea, Taiwan, & Mongolia) is about to fall away.\u00a0 These nations (combined) equal slightly more than 20% of the global population and consume 27% of total global energy.\u00a0 From […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3],"tags":[16387,11830,10135,14704,264,23903,1160],"class_list":["post-42646","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-energy-2","tag-chris-hamilton","tag-east-asia","tag-economic-breakdown","tag-economica","tag-energy-consumption","tag-population-collapse","tag-population-growth"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42646","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=42646"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42646\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42647,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42646\/revisions\/42647"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=42646"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=42646"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=42646"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}