{"id":41786,"date":"2018-12-19T07:11:09","date_gmt":"2018-12-19T12:11:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=41786"},"modified":"2018-12-19T07:11:09","modified_gmt":"2018-12-19T12:11:09","slug":"druckenmiller-the-best-economist-i-know-is-saying-something-is-not-right","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=41786","title":{"rendered":"Druckenmiller: &#8220;The Best Economist I Know Is Saying Something Is Not Right&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"block-zerohedge-page-title\" class=\"block block-core block-page-title-block\">\n<h3 class=\"page-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-12-18\/druckenmiller-backs-trump-warns-fed-let-bubble-unwind-slowly\"><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">Druckenmiller: &#8220;The Best Economist I Know Is Saying Something Is Not Right&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"block-zerohedge-content\" class=\"block block-system block-system-main-block\">\n<article class=\"node node--type-article node--view-mode-full\" role=\"article\" data-gtm-vis-recent-on-screen-2077925_22=\"1629\" data-gtm-vis-first-on-screen-2077925_22=\"1629\" data-gtm-vis-total-visible-time-2077925_22=\"100\" data-gtm-vis-has-fired-2077925_22=\"1\">\n<div class=\"node__content\">\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>Stanley Druckenmiller established himself as one of the most successful hedge fund managers of his generation thanks to an uncanny ability for recognizing signals in asset prices that portended an coming recession. <strong>So when he warns about rough times ahead, it&#8217;s probably worth listening. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Though he&#8217;s kept a relatively low profile since closing Duquesne Capital in 2010 and opening a family office based in midtown, Druckenmiller&#8217;s name has been popping up in the headlines of the financial press more frequently lately where his criticisms of the Fed were ridiculed (back in September he warned that we we are at the point in the tightening cycle where <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-09-29\/us-has-massive-debt-problem-and-its-feds-fault-druckenmiller-says\">&#8220;bombs are going off&#8221;)\u00a0 <\/a><strong>before they were echoed by no less a figure than the president himself. <\/strong>Over the weekend, Druckenmiller offered his latest contrarian screed against Wall Street pearl clutchers by arguing in an op-ed published with former Fed Gov. Kevin Warsh that Trump has a point, and that the Fed already missed its opportunity to safely tighten monetary policy. Now, the Fed has two choices: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-12-16\/trump-right-druckenmiller-warsh-urge-fed-not-now-further-tightening\">either reconsider its plans to raise rates to 3% and beyond<\/a> over the next year, or risk destabilizing asset markets and the broader economy.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/2018.12.18druck.JPG?itok=Cg3qJ9PF\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/2018.12.18druck.JPG?itok=Cg3qJ9PF\" data-link-option=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/2018.12.18druck.JPG\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/inline_image_desktop\/public\/inline-images\/2018.12.18druck.JPG?itok=Cg3qJ9PF 1x\" alt=\"Druck\" width=\"500\" height=\"246\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"fc40cb55-5ba9-4fe5-bdd0-baf3960fada7\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>And in an interview that bears similarities to Jeff Gundlachs&#8217; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-12-17\/bear-market-stocks-slump-after-gundlach-unleashes-truth-bombs-cnbc\">&#8220;truth bomb&#8221;-strewn<\/a> chat with CNBC, Druckenmiller sat down with Bloomberg for an hour-long interview <strong>where he warned that market conditions are about to get a lot worse. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>The only question, in Druckenmiller&#8217;s mind, is not whether the selloff will worsen, but by how much? Because the indicators that Druckenmiller used to anticipate the last four downturns are once again turning red, suggesting the &#8220;highest probability is that we struggle going forward.&#8221; <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Druckenmiller: &#8220;The Best Economist I Know Is Saying Something Is Not Right&#8221; Stanley Druckenmiller established himself as one of the most successful hedge fund managers of his generation thanks to an uncanny ability for recognizing signals in asset prices that portended an coming recession. So when he warns about rough times ahead, it&#8217;s probably worth [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[7844,303,22168,8625,1264,13811,3650,860,4318],"class_list":["post-41786","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-donald-trump","tag-fed","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-quantitative-tightening","tag-recession","tag-stanley-druckenmiller","tag-us-federal-reserve","tag-wall-street","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41786","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=41786"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41786\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41787,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41786\/revisions\/41787"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=41786"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=41786"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=41786"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}