{"id":41685,"date":"2018-12-15T09:51:55","date_gmt":"2018-12-15T14:51:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=41685"},"modified":"2018-12-15T09:51:55","modified_gmt":"2018-12-15T14:51:55","slug":"the-bank-of-england-and-the-manipulation-of-sterling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=41685","title":{"rendered":"The Bank of England and the Manipulation of\u00a0Sterling"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/stevenguinness2.wordpress.com\/2018\/12\/13\/the-bank-of-england-and-the-manipulation-of-sterling\/\">The Bank of England and the Manipulation of\u00a0Sterling<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-5487 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/stevenguinness2.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/08\/the-queen-s-head-1-1420004-640x480.jpg?w=322&amp;h=242\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 322px) 100vw, 322px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/stevenguinness2.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/08\/the-queen-s-head-1-1420004-640x480.jpg?w=322&amp;h=242 322w, https:\/\/stevenguinness2.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/08\/the-queen-s-head-1-1420004-640x480.jpg?w=150&amp;h=113 150w, https:\/\/stevenguinness2.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/08\/the-queen-s-head-1-1420004-640x480.jpg?w=300&amp;h=225 300w, https:\/\/stevenguinness2.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/08\/the-queen-s-head-1-1420004-640x480.jpg 640w\" alt=\"\" width=\"322\" height=\"242\" data-attachment-id=\"5487\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/stevenguinness2.wordpress.com\/2018\/08\/17\/sterling-falls-further-amid-no-deal-brexit-fears-and-rising-inflation\/olympus-digital-camera\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/stevenguinness2.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/08\/the-queen-s-head-1-1420004-640x480.jpg?w=322&amp;h=242\" data-orig-size=\"640,480\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;3.4&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;u700,S700&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1157382520&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;6.5&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;64&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0.00625&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/stevenguinness2.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/08\/the-queen-s-head-1-1420004-640x480.jpg?w=322&amp;h=242?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/stevenguinness2.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/08\/the-queen-s-head-1-1420004-640x480.jpg?w=322&amp;h=242?w=640\" \/><\/p>\n<p>In a recent article where I discussed the <a href=\"https:\/\/stevenguinness2.wordpress.com\/2018\/12\/04\/dont-be-deceived-the-bank-of-england-stand-at-the-heart-of-the-brexit-process\/\">Bank of England being at the heart of the Brexit process<\/a>, I mentioned how the fall in the value of sterling following the 2016 referendum was pigeonholed by the bank as being the sole cause for inflation breaching their 2% target.<\/p>\n<p>After the article was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-12-05\/dont-be-deceived-bank-england-stands-heart-brexit-process\">re-posted by Zero Hedge<\/a>, a reader commented on something I did not make specific mention of, which was that six weeks after the referendum the BOE halved interest rates to 0.25%, prompting the pound to drop further in value. The reader pointed out that cutting interest rates usually results in currencies depreciating, and that the bank\u2019s actions were the cause of a subsequent rise in inflation and not Brexit itself. Essentially, the premise here is that the BOE were responsible for devaluing the pound and creating the conditions to eventually raise interest rates a year later.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stevenguinness2.wordpress.com\/2017\/10\/19\/resurgent-populism-on-the-increase-in-europe-uk-inflation-at-five-year-high-as-rates-set-to-rise\/\">A similar comment from another reader in October last year<\/a>\u00a0spoke of how the BOE extending quantitative easing by \u00a360 billion, as well as lowering rates, were \u2018<em><strong>two sure fire things to lower the value of the pound<\/strong><\/em>.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>Whilst I have touched upon this in previous articles, it is a subject that deserves more attention and fresh context.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s start by first going back to December 2007 when the Bank of England cut interest rates from 5.75% to 5.5%. At the time sterling was valued at $1.96. Two more rate cuts followed in February and April 2008, taking rates down to 5%. The pound remained stable around $1.97. So far the bank lowering rates had not prompted a fall in sterling.<\/p>\n<p>Five months later Lehman Brothers collapsed, and so began a violent downward trend in interest rates. The next cut came in October, down to 4.5%. The chaos within financial markets had fed through to sterling \u2013 the $1.97 from five months ago was now $1.72.<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bank of England and the Manipulation of\u00a0Sterling In a recent article where I discussed the Bank of England being at the heart of the Brexit process, I mentioned how the fall in the value of sterling following the 2016 referendum was pigeonholed by the bank as being the sole cause for inflation breaching their [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5],"tags":[56,5582,426,431,927,534,11867,23505],"class_list":["post-41685","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-geopolitics","tag-bank-of-england","tag-brexit","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-manipulation","tag-monetary-policy","tag-sterling","tag-steve-guinness"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41685","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=41685"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41685\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41686,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41685\/revisions\/41686"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=41685"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=41685"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=41685"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}