{"id":41560,"date":"2018-12-12T15:11:00","date_gmt":"2018-12-12T20:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=41560"},"modified":"2019-01-31T22:05:51","modified_gmt":"2019-02-01T03:05:51","slug":"severe-collapse-of-home-prices-might-trigger-a-financial-institution-crisis-in-australia-oecd-frets-about-the-bank","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=41560","title":{"rendered":"\u201cSevere Collapse\u201d of Home Prices Might Trigger a \u201cFinancial-Institution Crisis\u201d in Australia: OECD Frets about the Bank"},"content":{"rendered":"<header>\n<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wolfstreet.com\/2018\/12\/10\/severe-collapse-of-home-prices-might-trigger-a-financial-institution-crisis-in-australia-oecd-frets-about-the-banks\/\">\u201cSevere Collapse\u201d of Home Prices Might Trigger a \u201cFinancial-Institution Crisis\u201d in Australia: OECD Frets about the Bank<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p><strong>\u201cThe authorities should prepare contingency plans.\u201d The big four banks are too exposed to mortgages. Even if the banks don\u2019t topple, the economy will get hit hard.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In its latest report on Australia, the OECD focuses to a disturbing extend on housing, household debt, what the current housing downturn might do to the otherwise healthy economy, and what the risks are that this housing downturn will lead to a financial crisis for the big four Australian banks, an eventuality that it says \u201cauthorities\u201d should make \u201ccontingency plans\u201d for.<\/p>\n<p>The big four banks are huge in relation to the Australian stock market and the overall economy: Their combined market capitalization, at A$341 billion, even after today\u2019s sell-off following the OECD report \u2013 accounts for 26% of Australia\u2019s total stock market capitalization.<\/p>\n<p>How they dominate the stock market showed up on Monday after the release of the report:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Common Wealth Bank of Australia (CBA): -2.98%<\/li>\n<li>Westpac (WBC): -3.38%<\/li>\n<li>Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ): -4.09%<\/li>\n<li>National Australia Bank (NAB): -2.54%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The overall ASX stock index on Monday dropped 2.27%.<\/p>\n<p>These big four are heavily owned by Australian pension funds, retail investors, and the like and form a big part of the retirement nest egg of the nation.&nbsp;So a banking crisis that involves the Big Four matters on all fronts \u2013 and the OECD report even pointed out that a collapse in the share prices of the Big Four would itself impact the overall economy negatively.<\/p>\n<p>The report (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.oecd.org\/economy\/surveys\/Australia-2018-OECD-economic-survey-overview.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PDF<\/a>) starts by explaining just how strong the economy is in Australia:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>With 27 years of positive economic growth, Australia has demonstrated a remarkable capacity to sustain steady increases in material living standards and absorb economic shocks.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cSevere Collapse\u201d of Home Prices Might Trigger a \u201cFinancial-Institution Crisis\u201d in Australia: OECD Frets about the Bank \u201cThe authorities should prepare contingency plans.\u201d The big four banks are too exposed to mortgages. Even if the banks don\u2019t topple, the economy will get hit hard. In its latest report on Australia, the OECD focuses to a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[41,63,195,312,5862,1935,2340,2339,2164,2177,4254,4255],"class_list":["post-41560","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-australia","tag-banks","tag-debt","tag-financial-crisis","tag-home-prices","tag-household-debt","tag-housing-market","tag-mortgages","tag-oecd","tag-price-collapse","tag-wolf-richter","tag-wolfstreet"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41560","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=41560"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41560\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43396,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41560\/revisions\/43396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=41560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=41560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=41560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}