{"id":40428,"date":"2018-11-12T12:50:16","date_gmt":"2018-11-12T17:50:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=40428"},"modified":"2018-11-12T12:50:16","modified_gmt":"2018-11-12T17:50:16","slug":"in-honor-of-veterans-day-the-butterfly-effect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=40428","title":{"rendered":"In Honor Of Veteran\u2019s Day: The Butterfly\u00a0Effect"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/macromon.wordpress.com\/2018\/11\/11\/in-honor-of-veterans-day-the-butterfly-effect\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">In Honor Of Veteran\u2019s Day: The Butterfly\u00a0Effect<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>To honor Veterans\u2019s Day,\u00a0 we are reposting our <a href=\"https:\/\/macromon.wordpress.com\/2017\/06\/27\/historys-biggest-butterfly-effect-occurred-on-this-day\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">June 2017 butterfly piece<\/a>, which illustrates how <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lrb.co.uk\/v35\/n23\/thomas-laqueur\/some-damn-foolish-thing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sleepwalking<\/a> can lead the world into a war that nobody wants.<\/p>\n<p>French President, Emmanuel Macron, warned today about sleepwalking into another great conflict.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><em>\u201cI know there are old demons which are coming back to the surface. They are ready to wreak chaos and death. History sometimes threatens to take its sinister course once again.\u00a0 \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2018\/11\/11\/politics\/donald-trump-armistice-day-paris\/index.html\">President Macron<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55335\" src=\"https:\/\/macromon.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/11\/vets.png?w=640&amp;h=360\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/macromon.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/11\/vets.png 640w, https:\/\/macromon.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/11\/vets.png?w=150&amp;h=84 150w, https:\/\/macromon.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/11\/vets.png?w=300&amp;h=169 300w\" alt=\"Vets\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" data-attachment-id=\"55335\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/macromon.wordpress.com\/2018\/11\/11\/in-honor-of-veterans-day-the-butterfly-effect\/vets\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/macromon.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/11\/vets.png?w=640&amp;h=360\" data-orig-size=\"640,360\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Vets\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/macromon.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/11\/vets.png?w=640&amp;h=360?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/macromon.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/11\/vets.png?w=640&amp;h=360?w=640\" \/><\/p>\n<h3><strong>History\u2019s Biggest \u201cButterfly Effect\u201d Occurred On This\u00a0Day<\/strong><\/h3>\n<div id=\"post-40694\" class=\"post-40694 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-economics category-geopolitical category-uncategorized tag-butterfly-effect tag-franz-ferdinand tag-world-war-i\">\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<blockquote><p><em>The\u00a0<b>butterfly effect<\/b>\u00a0is the concept that small causes can have large effects. Initially, it was used with weather prediction but later the term became a metaphor used in and out of science.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>In\u00a0<a title=\"Chaos theory\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Chaos_theory\">chaos theory<\/a>, the\u00a0<b>butterfly effect<\/b>\u00a0is the sensitive dependence on\u00a0<a title=\"Initial condition\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Initial_condition\">initial conditions<\/a>\u00a0in which a small change in one state of a deterministic\u00a0<a title=\"Nonlinear system\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Nonlinear_system\">nonlinear system<\/a>\u00a0can result in large differences in a later state. The name, coined by\u00a0<a class=\"mw-redirect\" title=\"Edward Lorenz\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Edward_Lorenz\">Edward Lorenz<\/a>\u00a0for the effect which had been known long before, is derived from the metaphorical example of the details of a tornado (exact time of formation, exact path taken) being influenced by minor perturbations such as the flapping of the wings of a distant\u00a0<a title=\"Butterfly\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Butterfly\">butterfly<\/a>\u00a0several weeks earlier. Lorenz discovered the effect when he observed that runs of his\u00a0<a title=\"Numerical weather prediction\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Numerical_weather_prediction\">weather model<\/a>\u00a0with initial condition data that was rounded in a seemingly inconsequential manner would fail to reproduce the results of runs with the unrounded initial condition data. A very small change in initial conditions had created a significantly different outcome.\u00a0 \u2014\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Butterfly_effect\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wikipedia<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>On this day in history,\u00a0<strong>June 28, 1914<\/strong>, the driver for Archduke Franz Ferdinand,\u00a0 nephew of Emperor Franz Josef and heir to the Austro-Hungarian Empire,\u00a0 made\u00a0<em><strong>a wrong turn onto Franzjosefstrasse<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0in Sarajevo.<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In Honor Of Veteran\u2019s Day: The Butterfly\u00a0Effect To honor Veterans\u2019s Day,\u00a0 we are reposting our June 2017 butterfly piece, which illustrates how sleepwalking can lead the world into a war that nobody wants. French President, Emmanuel Macron, warned today about sleepwalking into another great conflict. \u201cI know there are old demons which are coming back [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[15451,15450,22921,862],"class_list":["post-40428","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitics","tag-butterfly-effect","tag-global-macro-monitor","tag-veterans-day","tag-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40428","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=40428"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40428\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40429,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40428\/revisions\/40429"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=40428"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=40428"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=40428"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}