{"id":40221,"date":"2018-11-07T08:43:17","date_gmt":"2018-11-07T13:43:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=40221"},"modified":"2018-11-07T08:43:17","modified_gmt":"2018-11-07T13:43:17","slug":"mind-blowing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=40221","title":{"rendered":"Mind Blowing"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"posttitle\"><a href=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2018\/11\/06\/mind-blowing\/\">Mind Blowing<\/a><\/h3>\n<section id=\"main-content\" class=\"content_row\">\n<article id=\"post-52865\" class=\"post-52865 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-opinion\">\n<div class=\"entry\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Mind-Blowing.png?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-52870 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Mind-Blowing.png?resize=209%2C133&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 209px) 100vw, 209px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Mind-Blowing.png?resize=300%2C191&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Mind-Blowing.png?resize=150%2C95&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Mind-Blowing.png?w=648&amp;ssl=1 648w\" alt=\"\" width=\"209\" height=\"133\" data-attachment-id=\"52870\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2018\/11\/06\/mind-blowing\/mind-blowing\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Mind-Blowing.png?fit=648%2C412&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"648,412\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Mind Blowing\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Mind-Blowing.png?fit=300%2C191&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Mind-Blowing.png?fit=648%2C412&amp;ssl=1\" \/><\/a>We\u2019re in one of the longest economic expansion cycles in history and nobody\u2019s happy. It\u2019s mind blowing. You\u2019d think 2018 would have people dancing in the streets. 3.7% unemployment, record stock market prices. Well the ladder until recently that is.<\/p>\n<p>So let me rephrase:<\/p>\n<p>What happens if you have<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/opinion\/articles\/2018-10-30\/the-market-s-lost-bulls-discover-a-shepherd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong> record buybacks<\/strong><\/a>, record dividends, and record earnings but 89% of assets yield a negative return in US dollar terms?<\/p>\n<p>No really that\u2019s just what happened:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/buybacks-1.jpg?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-52855\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/buybacks-1.jpg?resize=408%2C482&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 408px) 100vw, 408px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/buybacks-1.jpg?resize=867%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 867w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/buybacks-1.jpg?resize=127%2C150&amp;ssl=1 127w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/buybacks-1.jpg?resize=254%2C300&amp;ssl=1 254w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/buybacks-1.jpg?resize=768%2C907&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/buybacks-1.jpg?w=1016&amp;ssl=1 1016w\" alt=\"\" width=\"408\" height=\"482\" data-attachment-id=\"52855\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2018\/11\/06\/the-unknown\/buybacks-40\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/buybacks-1.jpg?fit=1016%2C1200&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1016,1200\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"buybacks\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/buybacks-1.jpg?fit=254%2C300&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/buybacks-1.jpg?fit=676%2C798&amp;ssl=1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/returns.png?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-52856\" src=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/returns.png?resize=553%2C253&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 553px) 100vw, 553px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/returns.png?resize=1024%2C469&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/returns.png?resize=150%2C69&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/returns.png?resize=300%2C137&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/returns.png?resize=768%2C352&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/returns.png?w=1240&amp;ssl=1 1240w\" alt=\"\" width=\"553\" height=\"253\" data-attachment-id=\"52856\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2018\/11\/06\/the-unknown\/returns-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/returns.png?fit=1240%2C568&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1240,568\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"returns\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/returns.png?fit=300%2C137&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/returns.png?fit=676%2C310&amp;ssl=1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The short answer is: Nobody knows because it has never happened before.<\/p>\n<p>According to <strong>$DB:<\/strong> <em>\u201cA whopping 89 percent of assets have handed investors losses in U.S. dollar terms, more than any previous year going back more than a century\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Mind Blowing.<\/p>\n<p>No wonder <a href=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2018\/11\/04\/the-fed-crying-has-begun\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>The Fed Crying has Begun<\/strong><\/a>. Bulls are now dependent on a big year end rally to turn the ship around. And a technical case for that can <a href=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2018\/11\/04\/weekly-market-update-back-with-a-vengeance-but\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>certainly be made<\/strong><\/a>. But they only have a few weeks left in the year and they better hurry otherwise they owe everyone a big apology and can kiss their year end bonuses goodbye.<\/p>\n<p>But that\u2019s markets in 2018. It\u2019s not reflective of what has happened to the middle class over the last 20 years.<\/p>\n<p>Summary: Utterly screwed.<\/p>\n<p>How else to square headlines such as these:<\/p>\n<p id=\"article-headline\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/wealth-inequality-in-the-us-is-almost-as-bad-as-it-was-right-before-the-great-depression-2018-07-19\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>America\u2019s 1% hasn\u2019t controlled this much wealth since before the Great Depression<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2018\/08\/27\/1-in-3-americans-have-less-than-5000-dollars-saved-for-retirement.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>1 in 3 Americans have less than $5,000 saved for retirement<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2018\/03\/15\/bankrate-65-percent-of-americans-save-little-or-nothing.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>65% of Americans save little or nothing\u2014and half could end up struggling in retirement<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>I could post more links, but the message is clear: Wealth inequality is vast and nobody\u2019s happy.<\/p>\n<p>If you don\u2019t think so have you looked at our political discourse lately?<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mind Blowing We\u2019re in one of the longest economic expansion cycles in history and nobody\u2019s happy. It\u2019s mind blowing. You\u2019d think 2018 would have people dancing in the streets. 3.7% unemployment, record stock market prices. Well the ladder until recently that is. So let me rephrase: What happens if you have record buybacks, record dividends, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1717,10009,11564,7542,3054,11466],"class_list":["post-40221","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-buybacks","tag-economic-cycle","tag-economic-expansion","tag-northman-trader","tag-stock-buybacks","tag-stock-dividends"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40221","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=40221"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40221\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40222,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40221\/revisions\/40222"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=40221"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=40221"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=40221"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}