{"id":40086,"date":"2018-11-02T14:55:07","date_gmt":"2018-11-02T19:55:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=40086"},"modified":"2018-11-02T14:55:07","modified_gmt":"2018-11-02T19:55:07","slug":"feds-balance-sheet-shrinks-the-most-since-start-of-qt-qe-unwind-hits-321-billion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=40086","title":{"rendered":"Fed&#8217;s Balance Sheet Shrinks The Most Since Start Of QT; QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"block-zerohedge-page-title\" class=\"block block-core block-page-title-block\">\n<h3 class=\"page-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-11-02\/feds-balance-sheet-shrinks-most-record-qe-unwind-hits-321-billion\"><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">Fed&#8217;s Balance Sheet Shrinks The Most Since Start Of QT; QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion<\/span><\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"block-zerohedge-content\" class=\"block block-system block-system-main-block\">\n<article class=\"node node--type-article node--view-mode-full\" role=\"article\" data-gtm-vis-recent-on-screen-2077925_22=\"1593\" data-gtm-vis-first-on-screen-2077925_22=\"1593\" data-gtm-vis-total-visible-time-2077925_22=\"100\" data-gtm-vis-has-fired-2077925_22=\"1\">\n<div class=\"node__content\">\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>On Monday, when <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-10-29\/nomura-beware-halloweens-massive-fed-liquidity-withdrawal\">discussing the two key, opposing forces <\/a>facing stocks this week, we said that while on one hand stock buybacks will make a triumphant return, as companies with $50bn of quarterly buybacks exited their blackout periods, and the total number of permitted stock repurchases jumps to $110bn by the end of next week and to $145bn the following&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/buyback%20blackout%203.jpg\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/buyback%20blackout%203.jpg\" data-link-option=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/buyback%20blackout%203.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/inline_image_desktop\/public\/inline-images\/buyback%20blackout%203.jpg?itok=OnA215u6 1x\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"351\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"ab7d5251-35a6-48ca-ba57-54aecdc6f25b\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8230; the offset of the favorable flows from corporate buybacks <strong>would be the Fed itself<\/strong>, <strong>as the largest Fed balance-sheet reduction-to-date ($-33.3B) would take place on Halloween.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>And sure enough, one month after the Fed quantitative tightening entered its peak monthly unwind phase, during which the Fed&#8217;s balance sheet is scheduled to shrink by &#8220;up to&#8221; $30 billion in Treasuries and &#8220;up to&#8221; $20 billion in MBS a month, for a total of \u201cup to\u201d $50 billion a month, <strong>on October 31 the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/releases\/h41\/current\/\">balance sheet declined by $33.8 billion\u00a0 <\/a>&#8211; the biggest weekly total yet &#8211; consisting of $23.8 billion in Treasuries, $8 billion in Mortgage Backed Securities, and a modest decline in various other assets.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As a result of Wednesday&#8217;s maturities, the Fed&#8217;s balance sheet has now shrunk by $321 billion to $4.140 trillion, the lowest since February 12, 2014; since October 2017, when the Fed began its QE unwind, it has now shed $321 billion, or just over 7% from its all time highs.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/2018-11-02%20%286%29.jpg?itok=kBfJA91r\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/2018-11-02%20%286%29.jpg?itok=kBfJA91r\" data-link-option=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/2018-11-02%20%286%29.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/inline_image_desktop\/public\/inline-images\/2018-11-02%20%286%29.jpg?itok=kBfJA91r 1x\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"250\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"a4998913-6907-4dd3-8b3e-004ac3a2fefc\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>While MBS totals shifted around over the month, the Treasury decline took place in one day as there were no Treasury securities maturing on Oct. 15, while three security issues matured all in one day on Oct. 31, totaling $23 billion. Those were allowed to \u201croll off\u201d entirely without replacement. In other words, the Treasury Department paid the Fed $23 billion for them, money which the Fed will promptly &#8220;shred&#8221;, digitally speaking.<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed&#8217;s Balance Sheet Shrinks The Most Since Start Of QT; QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion On Monday, when discussing the two key, opposing forces facing stocks this week, we said that while on one hand stock buybacks will make a triumphant return, as companies with $50bn of quarterly buybacks exited their blackout periods, and the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[303,7819,661,8701,662,8625,3650],"class_list":["post-40086","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-fed","tag-fed-balance-sheet","tag-qe","tag-qt","tag-quantitative-easing","tag-quantitative-tightening","tag-us-federal-reserve"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40086","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=40086"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40086\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40087,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40086\/revisions\/40087"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=40086"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=40086"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=40086"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}