{"id":3980,"date":"2015-01-03T16:42:04","date_gmt":"2015-01-03T21:42:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=3980"},"modified":"2015-01-03T16:42:04","modified_gmt":"2015-01-03T21:42:04","slug":"the-gasoline-price-myth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=3980","title":{"rendered":"The Gasoline Price Myth"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Oil-Prices\/The-Gasoline-Price-Myth.html\">The Gasoline Price Myth<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 1em; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px 0px 1em 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\"><em style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: italic; font-size: 14px; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\">&#8220;If you repeat a falsehood long enough, it will eventually be accepted as fact.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 1em; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px 0px 1em 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\">In the financial markets and economics it is a common occurrence that the media and commentators will latch on to a statement that supports a cognitive bias and then repeat that statement until it is a universally accepted truth.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 1em; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px 0px 1em 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\">When such a statement becomes universally accepted and unquestioned, well, that is when I begin to question it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 1em; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px 0px 1em 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\">One of those statements has been in regards to plunging oil prices. The majority of analysts and economists have been ratcheting up expectations for the economy and the markets on the back of lower energy costs. The argument is that lower oil prices lead to lower gasoline prices that give consumers more money to spend. The argument seems to be entirely logical since we know that roughly 80% of households in America effectively live paycheck-to-paycheck meaning they will spend, rather than save, any extra disposable income.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 1em; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px 0px 1em 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\">As an example,\u00a0<a style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: #24606c; text-decoration: underline; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; outline-color: initial; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\" href=\"http:\/\/qz.com\/317795\/here-is-how-low-oil-prices-will-shake-things-up-in-2015\/\">Steve LeVine<\/a>\u00a0recently wrote:<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 1em; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px 0px 1em 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\"><!-- [if gte mso 9]><xml>\n <w:WordDocument>\n  <w:Zoom>0<\/w:Zoom>\n  <w:DisplayHorizontalDrawingGridEvery>0<\/w:DisplayHorizontalDrawingGridEvery>\n  <w:DisplayVerticalDrawingGridEvery>0<\/w:DisplayVerticalDrawingGridEvery>\n  <w:UseMarginsForDrawingGridOrigin\/>\n <\/w:WordDocument>\n<\/xml><![endif]--> <!--StartFragment--><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><a name=\"OLE_LINK4\"><\/a><a name=\"OLE_LINK5\"><\/a><a name=\"OLE_LINK6\"><\/a><a name=\"OLE_LINK7\"><\/a><a name=\"OLE_LINK8\"><\/a><a name=\"OLE_LINK9\"><\/a><a name=\"OLE_LINK10\"><\/a><a name=\"OLE_LINK11\"><\/a><a name=\"OLE_LINK12\"><\/a><span style=\"mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;\"><span style=\"mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK10;\"><span style=\"mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK9;\"><span style=\"mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK8;\"><span style=\"mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK7;\"><span style=\"mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK6;\"><span style=\"mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK5;\"><span style=\"mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: LucidaGrande; color: #282828;\">&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 1em; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px 0px 1em 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\"><!--EndFragment--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Gasoline Price Myth. &#8220;If you repeat a falsehood long enough, it will eventually be accepted as fact.&#8221; In the financial markets and economics it is a common occurrence that the media and commentators will latch on to a statement that supports a cognitive bias and then repeat that statement until it is a universally [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1423,2376,1775,655],"class_list":["post-3980","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-2","tag-gasoline-price","tag-myth","tag-oil-price-collapse","tag-propaganda"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3980","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3980"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3980\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3981,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3980\/revisions\/3981"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3980"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3980"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3980"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}