{"id":39616,"date":"2018-10-24T06:14:32","date_gmt":"2018-10-24T11:14:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=39616"},"modified":"2018-10-24T06:14:32","modified_gmt":"2018-10-24T11:14:32","slug":"prospect-of-u-s-china-war-rising-after-us-warships-sail-through-taiwan-strait","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=39616","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Prospect Of U.S.-China War Rising&#8221; After US Warships Sail Through Taiwan Strait"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"block-zerohedge-page-title\" class=\"block block-core block-page-title-block\">\n<h3 class=\"page-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-10-23\/graham-allison-tensions-taiwan-strait-prospect-us-china-war-rising\"><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">&#8220;Prospect Of U.S.-China War Rising&#8221; After US Warships Sail Through Taiwan Strait<\/span><\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"block-zerohedge-content\" class=\"block block-system block-system-main-block\">\n<article class=\"node node--type-article node--view-mode-full\" role=\"article\" data-gtm-vis-recent-on-screen-2077925_22=\"3130\" data-gtm-vis-first-on-screen-2077925_22=\"3130\" data-gtm-vis-total-visible-time-2077925_22=\"100\" data-gtm-vis-has-fired-2077925_22=\"1\">\n<div class=\"node__content\">\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>Just after U.S. warships again made a provocative passage through the Taiwan Strait on Monday,\u00a0further making already strained\u00a0tensions between the Washington and Beijing <em>\u2014\u00a0<\/em>currently in the midst of a trade war <em>\u2014 <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-10-22\/taiwan-strait-getting-hot-hot-hot\">even hotter<\/a>, Steve LeVine at\u00a0<em>Axios <\/em>poses the question long on the Western public&#8217;s mind: <strong>what are the chances of a US-China war?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>LeVine recently crossed paths with Graham Allison, who published his explosive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.belfercenter.org\/thucydides-trap\/overview-thucydides-trap\">&#8220;Destined For War: Can America And China Escape Thucydides Trap?&#8221;<\/a> a year ago which detailed the reasons for a coming major war being all but inevitable, sparking a global debate about the Harvard professor&#8217;s controversial thesis. LeVine followed up with Allison in relation to the recent uptick in tensions in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/the-trap-china-trump-war-thucydides-d0e60f86-5d73-4e52-acb0-e0db7adf767c.html\">region of the South China Sea<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>He said, <strong>if\u00a0history holds, the U.S. and China appeared headed toward war<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Over the weekend,\u00a0I asked him for an update \u2014 specifically <strong>whether the danger of the two going to war seems to have risen<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8220;Yes,&#8221;<\/strong> he responded.\u00a0The chance of war is still less than 50%, but <strong>&#8220;is real \u2014 and much more likely than is generally recognized.&#8221;<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>LeVine comments of Graham Allison&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/the-trap-china-trump-war-thucydides-d0e60f86-5d73-4e52-acb0-e0db7adf767c.html\">central thesis<\/a>, <strong><em>&#8220;Glued to a 2,400-year-old script, the U.S. and China seem to be on the same war-bound path that great powers have taken since Sparta fought upstart Athens.&#8221;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<figure class=\"caption caption-img\" role=\"group\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/Taiwan%20Strait%20warships.jpg?itok=bPZ4DT71\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/Taiwan%20Strait%20warships.jpg?itok=bPZ4DT71\" data-link-option=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/Taiwan%20Strait%20warships.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/inline_image_desktop\/public\/inline-images\/Taiwan%20Strait%20warships.jpg?itok=bPZ4DT71 1x\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"0b924318-07e7-4f1e-871c-300a5e84f339\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/a><figcaption><em>LA Times: On Monday the ships sailed from the south to the north through the Taiwan Strait and were shadowed by multiple Chinese navy vessels. (U.S. Navy)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-03-30\/us-china-are-collapsing-thucydides-trap\">reference is to<\/a> the\u00a0<em>History of the Peloponnesian War<\/em>, in which ancient Greek historian Thucydides told us the tale of a dominant regional power (Sparta) that felt threatened by the rise of a competing power (Athens).<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Prospect Of U.S.-China War Rising&#8221; After US Warships Sail Through Taiwan Strait Just after U.S. warships again made a provocative passage through the Taiwan Strait on Monday,\u00a0further making already strained\u00a0tensions between the Washington and Beijing \u2014\u00a0currently in the midst of a trade war \u2014 even hotter, Steve LeVine at\u00a0Axios poses the question long on the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[130,15130,1439,22454,827,862,4318],"class_list":["post-39616","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitics","tag-china","tag-graham-allison","tag-south-china-sea","tag-taiwan-strait","tag-united-states","tag-war","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39616","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=39616"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39616\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39617,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39616\/revisions\/39617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=39616"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=39616"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=39616"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}