{"id":38920,"date":"2018-10-09T07:37:23","date_gmt":"2018-10-09T12:37:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=38920"},"modified":"2018-10-09T07:37:23","modified_gmt":"2018-10-09T12:37:23","slug":"qe-party-is-drying-up-even-at-the-bank-of-japan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=38920","title":{"rendered":"QE Party Is Drying Up, Even at the Bank of Japan"},"content":{"rendered":"<header>\n<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wolfstreet.com\/2018\/10\/08\/bankof-japan-qe-taper-jgb-debt-crisis\/\">QE Party Is Drying Up, Even at the Bank of Japan<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p><strong>Despite repeated speeches to the contrary.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As of September 30, total assets on the Bank of Japan\u2019s elephantine balance sheet dropped by \u00a55.4 trillion ($33 billion) from a month earlier, to \u00a5537 trillion ($4.87 trillion). It was the fourth month-over-month decline in a series that <a href=\"https:\/\/wolfstreet.com\/2018\/01\/05\/bank-of-japan-begins-qqe-unwind-despite-its-rhetoric-qe-party-over\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">started in December<\/a>. This chart shows the month-to-month changes of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.boj.or.jp\/en\/statistics\/boj\/other\/acmai\/release\/2018\/ac180930.htm\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">balance sheet<\/a>. Despite all the volatility, the trend since mid-2016 is becoming clear:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-45212\" src=\"https:\/\/wolfstreet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Japan-BOJ-assets-monthly-change-yen-2018-09.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 490px) 100vw, 490px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wolfstreet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Japan-BOJ-assets-monthly-change-yen-2018-09.png 490w, https:\/\/wolfstreet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Japan-BOJ-assets-monthly-change-yen-2018-09-260x221.png 260w, https:\/\/wolfstreet.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Japan-BOJ-assets-monthly-change-yen-2018-09-160x136.png 160w\" alt=\"\" width=\"490\" height=\"417\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Abenomics became the economic religion of Japan in later 2012, and \u201cQQE\u201d (Qualitative and Quantitative Easing) was an integral part of it. So has the \u201cQQE Unwind\u201d commenced? Are central bankers, even at the Bank of Japan, getting cold feet about the consequences?<\/p>\n<p>At BOJ policy meetings, concerns have been voiced over \u00a0the \u201csustainability\u201d of the stimulus program, according to the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.boj.or.jp\/en\/mopo\/mpmsche_minu\/minu_2018\/g180731.pdf\">minutes<\/a> of the July meeting, released on September 25. So the BOJ staff \u201cproposed measures to enhance the sustainability of the current monetary easing while taking into consideration, <em>for example<\/em>, their effects on financial markets.\u201d<\/p>\n<div id=\"ntv1047604-269345-11579\" class=\"ntv-moap ntv1047604-269345-11579\">\n<div class=\"ntv-entry\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>And \u201cflexibility\u201d has been proposed as solution to those concerns.<\/p>\n<p>The minutes reiterated that the BOJ would continue to buy Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) in \u201ca flexible manner\u201d so that its holdings would increase by about \u00a580 trillion a year.<\/p>\n<p>But this is precisely what has <em>not<\/em> been happening, in line with this \u201cflexibility.\u201d Over the past 12 months, the BOJ\u2019s holdings of JGBs rose by \u201conly\u201d \u00a526.2 trillion \u2013 not \u00a580 trillion. And they declined in September from the prior month (more in a moment).<\/p>\n<p>Shortly after the minutes had been released, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, once the most reckless among the money printers, changed his tune and said in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-japan-economy-boj\/bojs-kuroda-highlights-need-to-look-at-the-downside-of-easy-policy-idUSKCN1M50K0\">speech<\/a> that, \u201cin continuing with powerful monetary easing, we now need to consider both its positive effects and side-effects in a balanced manner.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>QE Party Is Drying Up, Even at the Bank of Japan Despite repeated speeches to the contrary. As of September 30, total assets on the Bank of Japan\u2019s elephantine balance sheet dropped by \u00a55.4 trillion ($33 billion) from a month earlier, to \u00a5537 trillion ($4.87 trillion). It was the fourth month-over-month decline in a series [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[57,124,661,8701,662,8625,4254,4255],"class_list":["post-38920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-bank-of-japan","tag-central-banks","tag-qe","tag-qt","tag-quantitative-easing","tag-quantitative-tightening","tag-wolf-richter","tag-wolfstreet"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38920","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=38920"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38920\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38921,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38920\/revisions\/38921"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=38920"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=38920"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=38920"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}