{"id":38245,"date":"2018-09-25T08:14:33","date_gmt":"2018-09-25T13:14:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=38245"},"modified":"2018-09-25T08:14:33","modified_gmt":"2018-09-25T13:14:33","slug":"theres-a-new-crash-coming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=38245","title":{"rendered":"There\u2019s a New Crash Coming"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"headline\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.counterpunch.org\/2018\/09\/25\/theres-a-new-crash-coming\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">There\u2019s a New Crash Coming<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"post_content\">\n<p>Donald Trump is the epitome of irrational exuberance.<\/p>\n<p>You might remember that phrase from the 1990s. Alan Greenspan, the head of the Federal Reserve at the time, was describing how the tech boom was creating a bubble by generating enthusiasm way out of proportion to the actual value of the new companies.<\/p>\n<p>Such an unwarranted economic boom was hardly something new, so it was easy to predict what would happen next. Periods of irrational exuberance \u2014 whether the dot-com expansion, Dutch tulipmania in the 17<sup>th<\/sup> century, or the housing bubble in America of the 2000s \u2014 have always led to a sudden crash and a serious hangover.<\/p>\n<p>And now, here we go again.<\/p>\n<p>Trump, always exuberant when talking about himself and his putative accomplishments, loves to boast about how well the American economy is chugging along. The stock market reached its <a title=\"all-time high\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/wealthy-americans-may-be-warning-of-the-next-stock-market-collapse-to-come-analyst-2018-09-17\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">all-time high<\/a> at the end of August. In its second quarter this year, U.S. economic growth was <a title=\"4.1 percent\" href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2018\/07\/27\/632640711\/u-s-could-see-blockbuster-economic-growth-number-today\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">4.1 percent<\/a>. Unemployment remains below 4 percent, and inflation <a title=\"remains moderate\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2018\/09\/13\/us-cpi-aug-2018.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">remains moderate<\/a>. Even wages <a title=\"are going up\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/economy\/making-sense\/wages-tick-up-unemployment-holds-steady-in-august\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">are going up<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Irrationality enters the picture because there\u2019s little if any connection between the president\u2019s policies and the outcomes he lauds (since these trends began before he took office). Also, the prosperity that has resulted from this economic expansion has largely been enjoyed by the wealthier sectors of society. Finally, Trump\u2019s economic fever dream is fueled by an enormous and growing amount of debt.<\/p>\n<p>When it comes to irrational exuberance, it\u2019s never<em> if<\/em> there will be a bust but <em>when<\/em>. On the tenth anniversary of the financial collapse of 2008, it\u2019s worth looking at the potential pinpricks that will pop <a title=\"Trump\u2019s hot-air balloon\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/gadfly\/articles\/2017-08-18\/that-hiss-is-coming-from-trump-bubble-and-getting-louder\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Trump\u2019s hot-air balloon<\/a> and send America crashing back to earth.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Mountains of Debt<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There\u2019s a New Crash Coming Donald Trump is the epitome of irrational exuberance. You might remember that phrase from the 1990s. Alan Greenspan, the head of the Federal Reserve at the time, was describing how the tech boom was creating a bubble by generating enthusiasm way out of proportion to the actual value of the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[952,89,1806,124,5493,195,7844,303,406,5824,10545,3650],"class_list":["post-38245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-alan-greenspan","tag-boom-and-bust","tag-bubble","tag-central-banks","tag-counterpunch","tag-debt","tag-donald-trump","tag-fed","tag-housing-bubble","tag-irrational-exhuberance","tag-john-feffer","tag-us-federal-reserve"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38245","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=38245"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38245\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38246,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38245\/revisions\/38246"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=38245"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=38245"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=38245"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}