{"id":37526,"date":"2018-09-09T10:07:10","date_gmt":"2018-09-09T15:07:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=37526"},"modified":"2018-09-09T10:07:22","modified_gmt":"2018-09-09T15:07:22","slug":"global-trade-hit-by-rare-decline-as-supply-chains-seize-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=37526","title":{"rendered":"Global Trade Hit By Rare Decline As “Supply Chains Seize Up”"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Global Trade Hit By Rare Decline As “Supply Chains Seize Up”<\/a><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n
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With the Trump administration about to slap tariffs of up to 25% on an additional $200 billion in Chinese goods, new data suggests<\/a> that the global slowdown has already begun. Confirming our observations from two weeks ago<\/a>, in which we showed that the latest freight data indicated global trade volumes are slowing…<\/p>\n

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…on Friday Bloomberg highlighted<\/a> that the world trade monitor compiled by the CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis showed the rolling three-month trade volumes are not only in decline but have entered into negative territory, an ominous harbinger of economic trouble.<\/p>\n

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As Bloomberg notes, “the drop is particularly striking given that commodities, one of the largest and most volatile subsets of globally traded goods, have been doing quite well \u2013 the CPB\u2019s indexes of fuels and non-fuel commodities both reached the highest levels since 2014 in May.”<\/p>\n

Instead, confirming the ominous recent developments in Brazil<\/a>, where a clustering of supply-chain linked problems has resulted in a near paralysis in the country’s shipping industry, Bloomberg notes that “the weakness is coming not from materials but from manufactured goods, as global supply chains seize up.<\/strong>”<\/p>\n

With the CPB index printing negative throughout the second quarter of the year, that echoes the numerous reports of a slowdown in the US. Manufactures \u201creported higher prices and supply disruptions that they attributed to the new trade policies,\u201d according to the Federal Reserve\u2019s July Beige Book, in addition to \u201chigher input prices and shrinking margins.\u201d<\/p>\n

Next Wednesday, another Beige Book is due, and it is likely to show more evidence of slowing trade as a result of escalating trade wars.<\/p>\n

\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n

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Global Trade Hit By Rare Decline As “Supply Chains Seize Up”\u00a0 With the Trump administration about to slap tariffs of up to 25% on an additional $200 billion in Chinese goods, new data suggests that the global slowdown has already begun. Confirming our observations from two weeks ago, in which we showed that the latest […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[130,7844,3761,3237,805,827,4318],"class_list":["post-37526","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-china","tag-donald-trump","tag-global-trade","tag-supply-chains","tag-trade","tag-united-states","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37526","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=37526"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37526\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37527,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37526\/revisions\/37527"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=37526"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=37526"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=37526"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}