{"id":37067,"date":"2018-08-26T06:56:25","date_gmt":"2018-08-26T11:56:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=37067"},"modified":"2018-08-26T06:56:25","modified_gmt":"2018-08-26T11:56:25","slug":"so-bloody-predictable-sydney-ground-zero-in-interest-only-mortgage-implosion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=37067","title":{"rendered":"So Bloody Predictable: Sydney Ground Zero in Interest-Only Mortgage Implosion"},"content":{"rendered":"<header>\n<div class=\"story-header-area\">\n<div class=\"clearfix\">\n<div class=\"story-header\">\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/moneymaven.io\/mishtalk\/economics\/so-bloody-predictable-sydney-ground-zero-in-interest-only-mortgage-implosion-tihWnRGGu0WIQq_Tz0FYBA\/\">So Bloody Predictable: Sydney Ground Zero in Interest-Only Mortgage Implosion<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"photo\">\n<div class=\"renderable jss1182 Center Large show\">\n<figure class=\"image\">\n<div class=\"jss238 picture loaded\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/imageproxy.themaven.net\/https%3A%2F%2Fs3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com%2Fmaven-user-photos%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2FzmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q%2FqgI58Kqmr0SAipq-qoaSfA\" srcset=\"https:\/\/imageproxy.themaven.net\/https%3A%2F%2Fs3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com%2Fmaven-user-photos%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2FzmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q%2FqgI58Kqmr0SAipq-qoaSfA?w=684&amp;q=40&amp;h=357.4375&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=crop 1x, https:\/\/imageproxy.themaven.net\/https%3A%2F%2Fs3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com%2Fmaven-user-photos%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2FzmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q%2FqgI58Kqmr0SAipq-qoaSfA?w=1026&amp;q=30&amp;h=536&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=crop 1.5x, https:\/\/imageproxy.themaven.net\/https%3A%2F%2Fs3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com%2Fmaven-user-photos%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2FzmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q%2FqgI58Kqmr0SAipq-qoaSfA?w=1368&amp;q=20&amp;h=715&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=crop 2x, https:\/\/imageproxy.themaven.net\/https%3A%2F%2Fs3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com%2Fmaven-user-photos%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2FzmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q%2FqgI58Kqmr0SAipq-qoaSfA?w=2052&amp;q=10&amp;h=1072&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=crop 3x\" alt=\"\" width=\"684\" height=\"357.4375\" \/><\/div><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"post-summary\">\n<div class=\"publish-info\">\n<div class=\"authorCard jss1213\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"deck\">Australia&#8217;s housing boom is over. A recession is not far away.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<article class=\"story-body clearfix\">\n<div class=\"body\">\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>It&#8217;s &#8220;all so bloody predictable&#8221; says Australia Macro Business as W<a href=\"https:\/\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/2018\/08\/western-sydney-ground-zero-interest-mortgage-bust\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">estern Sydney Ground Zero in Interest-Only Mortgage Bust<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<blockquote><p>Selling agents are starting to reveal the truth behind recent listings in Sydney\u2019s west with Belle Property Strathfield\u2019s Jimmy Kang saying up to 50 per cent of his clients were asking him to sell their homes in Sydney\u2019s western suburbs because they can no longer afford their new principal-and-interest mortgages.<\/p>\n<p>\u2026A couple asked him to sell a two-bedroom weatherboard home in Veron Street in Wentworthville, 27 kilometres west of Sydney, for $950,000 when it was only worth about between $820,000 and $830,000. They bought the home for $790,000, two years ago.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI asked them where they got that number from and they said that was the number they need to pay back the $200,000 they borrowed from family to buy the home as well as repay their interest-only loan,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA lot of them initially paid $2000 to $2500 a month on their interest-only loans, and now they have to pay $4000.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Auctions in Western Sydney\u2019s mortgage belt have collapsed. This is exactly what happened in the 2003 Sydney bust. Western Sydney is basically a low income ghetto that occasionally catches the house price bug then is astonished when its paltry income can\u2019t support the prices.<\/p>\n<p>This is going to melt down worse than 2003. Back then it was bailed out by the mining boom, rising rents and wages. As well, other city house prices took off and supported consumption. Today Western Sydney is the epicentre of the mass immigration wages crush and falling rents, and it\u2019s increasingly national.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<p><strong>Correction Just Started<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"renderable jss1182 Center Large show\"><span class=\"\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"embedded0-kS9OI8xUC7xkfcnSUwCA-3\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/L_1HdiaVg7Q?autoplay=0&amp;enablejsapi=1&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fmoneymaven.io&amp;widgetid=1\" width=\"100%\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>\u200bHome prices are J<a href=\"https:\/\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/2018\/07\/australias-house-price-correction-just-begun\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ust Starting to Decline<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So Bloody Predictable: Sydney Ground Zero in Interest-Only Mortgage Implosion Australia&#8217;s housing boom is over. A recession is not far away. It&#8217;s &#8220;all so bloody predictable&#8221; says Australia Macro Business as Western Sydney Ground Zero in Interest-Only Mortgage Bust. Selling agents are starting to reveal the truth behind recent listings in Sydney\u2019s west with Belle [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[41,2340,21412,14648,13390,1592],"class_list":["post-37067","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-australia","tag-housing-market","tag-interest-only-mortgages","tag-michael-shedlock","tag-mishtalk","tag-sydney"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37067","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=37067"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37067\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37068,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37067\/revisions\/37068"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=37067"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=37067"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=37067"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}