{"id":36982,"date":"2018-08-23T07:58:34","date_gmt":"2018-08-23T12:58:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=36982"},"modified":"2018-08-23T07:58:34","modified_gmt":"2018-08-23T12:58:34","slug":"the-5-previous-times-this-stock-market-indicator-has-reached-this-level-stock-prices-have-fallen-by-at-least-50-percent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=36982","title":{"rendered":"The 5 Previous Times This Stock Market Indicator Has Reached This Level Stock Prices Have Fallen By At Least 50 Percent"},"content":{"rendered":"
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The 5 Previous Times This Stock Market Indicator Has Reached This Level Stock Prices Have Fallen By At Least 50 Percent<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n
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\"\"<\/a>Have you ever heard of the \u201cSound Advice Risk Indicator\u201d?\u00a0 Every single time in our history when it has gone above 2.0 the stock market has crashed, and now it has just surged above that threshold for the very first time since the late 1990s.\u00a0 That doesn\u2019t mean that a stock market crash is imminent, but it is definitely yet another indication that this stock market bubble is living on borrowed time<\/a>.\u00a0 But for the moment, there is still quite a bit of optimism on Wall Street.\u00a0 The Dow set another brand new all-time record high earlier this week, and on Wednesday we learned that this bull market is now officially the longest in our history<\/a>\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<\/header>\n

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For context, a bull market is defined as a 20% rally on a closing basis that\u2019s at no point derailed by a subsequent 20% decline. March 9, 2009, has long been the agreed-upon starting point for such calculations because that was the absolute bottom for the prior bear market, which ended that day.<\/p>\n

The S&P 500 has surged a whopping 323% over the period, with its roughly 19% annualized return slightly lagging behind the historical bull market average of 22%.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Of course the U.S. economy has not been performing nearly as well.\u00a0 Even if you accept the highly manipulated numbers that the federal government puts out, we haven\u2019t had a year when GDP grew by at least 3 percent since the middle of the Bush administration.<\/p>\n

It simply is not possible for stock prices to continue to soar about 20 percent a year when the U.S. economy is growing less than 3 percent a year.\u00a0 At some point a major adjustment is coming, and it is going to be exceedingly painful.<\/p>\n

\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The 5 Previous Times This Stock Market Indicator Has Reached This Level Stock Prices Have Fallen By At Least 50 Percent Have you ever heard of the \u201cSound Advice Risk Indicator\u201d?\u00a0 Every single time in our history when it has gone above 2.0 the stock market has crashed, and now it has just surged above […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1750,21215,195,4106,8535,21216,7581,21217,21218,1732,6061,6125,1849,7196,21316,4754,21317,21318,6065,480,488,506,4901,6066,2731,16878,5221,753,8644,7452,8645,6540,21319],"class_list":["post-36982","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-bear-market","tag-cheap-loans","tag-debt","tag-debt-crisis","tag-emerging-market","tag-emerging-market-currencies","tag-emerging-market-currency-crisis","tag-emerging-market-debt-crisis","tag-emerging-market-economies","tag-emerging-markets","tag-financial","tag-financial-marketplace","tag-financial-markets","tag-global-debt-crisis","tag-global-financial-marketplace","tag-global-financial-markets","tag-global-panic","tag-investor-panic","tag-investors","tag-lending","tag-loans","tag-markets","tag-michael-snyder","tag-panic","tag-stock-market-crash","tag-stock-market-crash-2018","tag-stock-prices","tag-stocks","tag-the-dollar","tag-the-economic-collapse-blog","tag-the-u-s-dollar","tag-u-s-stocks","tag-what-is-coming"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36982","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=36982"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36982\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36983,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36982\/revisions\/36983"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=36982"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=36982"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=36982"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}