{"id":35823,"date":"2018-07-08T09:33:42","date_gmt":"2018-07-08T14:33:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=35823"},"modified":"2018-07-08T09:33:42","modified_gmt":"2018-07-08T14:33:42","slug":"us-iran-clash-in-hormuz-strait-not-an-improbable-scenario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=35823","title":{"rendered":"US, Iran Clash in Hormuz Strait: Not an Improbable Scenario"},"content":{"rendered":"<header><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-responsive\" title=\"US, Iran Clash in Hormuz Strait: Not an Improbable Scenario\" src=\"https:\/\/www.strategic-culture.org\/images\/news\/2018\/07\/07\/or-41032.jpg\" alt=\"US, Iran Clash in Hormuz Strait: Not an Improbable Scenario\" \/><\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/www.strategic-culture.org\/news\/2018\/07\/07\/us-iran-clash-in-hormuz-strait-not-improbable-scenario.html\">US, Iran Clash in Hormuz Strait: Not an Improbable Scenario<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<p>The US remains adamant in its desire to cut Iran\u2019s oil exports to zero, even if it hurts importing countries. America\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/wires\/afp\/article-5910615\/US-sticks-goal-cutting-Iran-oil-exports-zero.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cke-saved-href=\"http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/wires\/afp\/article-5910615\/US-sticks-goal-cutting-Iran-oil-exports-zero.html\">secondary sanctions<\/a>\u00a0on firms dealing with Iran would &#8220;snap back&#8221; on August 6 for trade in cars and metals and on November 4 for oil and banking transactions. The \u201cwind down\u201d period varied between 90 and 180 days is intended to allow entities to end businesses in Iran. There will be no waivers. India, China and Turkey are the oil importers expected not to succumb to US pressure.<\/p>\n<p>Brian Hook, the State Department&#8217;s director of policy and planning,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/wires\/afp\/article-5910615\/US-sticks-goal-cutting-Iran-oil-exports-zero.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cke-saved-href=\"http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/wires\/afp\/article-5910615\/US-sticks-goal-cutting-Iran-oil-exports-zero.html\">said<\/a>\u00a0<em>&#8220;Our goal is to increase pressure on the Iranian regime by reducing to zero its revenue from crude oil sales.&#8221;<\/em> The US has already approached Saudi Arabia on the subject of increasing exports to compensate for the reduction of Iranian oil on the world market.<\/p>\n<p>The goal is to hit Iran\u2019s economy against the background of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.radiofarda.com\/a\/iran-protests-khuzestan-water-scarcity\/29333200.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cke-saved-href=\"https:\/\/en.radiofarda.com\/a\/iran-protests-khuzestan-water-scarcity\/29333200.html\">ongoing protests<\/a>\u00a0inside the country. Last July, John Bolton\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=kf7VPklv8GY\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cke-saved-href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=kf7VPklv8GY\">openly called<\/a>\u00a0for regime change in Tehran. He was not national security adviser at the time but nothing makes believe he has changed his views since then.<\/p>\n<p>Iran\u2019s President Hassan Rouhani\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2018\/07\/rouhani-unaware-consequences-iran-oil-ban-180704192611489.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cke-saved-href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2018\/07\/rouhani-unaware-consequences-iran-oil-ban-180704192611489.html\">warned<\/a>\u00a0the United States about consequences. He said shipments from other countries would be disrupted if Iranian oil exports were suspended. Qassem Solaimani, the commander of the Al Quds Force in the Revolutionary Guards,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/english.alarabiya.net\/en\/business\/2018\/07\/04\/After-Rouhani-Soleimani-threatens-to-block-Gulf-oil-exports.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cke-saved-href=\"http:\/\/english.alarabiya.net\/en\/business\/2018\/07\/04\/After-Rouhani-Soleimani-threatens-to-block-Gulf-oil-exports.html\">joined him<\/a>\u00a0to confirm that his country will block oil shipments through the Hormuz Strait if the US administration stops Iranian oil exports. Mohammad Ali Jafari, the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-iran-oil-usa-irgc\/irans-guards-say-strait-of-hormuz-is-for-all-or-no-one-idUSKBN1JV231\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cke-saved-href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-iran-oil-usa-irgc\/irans-guards-say-strait-of-hormuz-is-for-all-or-no-one-idUSKBN1JV231\">said<\/a>\u00a0that <em>\u201ceither all can use the Strait of Hormuz or no one.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>US, Iran Clash in Hormuz Strait: Not an Improbable Scenario The US remains adamant in its desire to cut Iran\u2019s oil exports to zero, even if it hurts importing countries. America\u2019s\u00a0secondary sanctions\u00a0on firms dealing with Iran would &#8220;snap back&#8221; on August 6 for trade in cars and metals and on November 4 for oil and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[130,1997,20831,422,441,588,1135,16490,701,8203,818,827],"class_list":["post-35823","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitics","tag-china","tag-economic-sanctions","tag-hormuz-strait","tag-india","tag-iran","tag-oil","tag-oil-exports","tag-peter-korzun","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-strategic-culture-foundation","tag-turkey","tag-united-states"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35823","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=35823"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35823\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35824,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35823\/revisions\/35824"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=35823"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=35823"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=35823"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}