{"id":35799,"date":"2018-07-08T06:39:42","date_gmt":"2018-07-08T11:39:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=35799"},"modified":"2018-07-08T06:39:42","modified_gmt":"2018-07-08T11:39:42","slug":"housing-bubble-and-everything-bubble-in-one-simple-picture","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=35799","title":{"rendered":"Housing Bubble and Everything Bubble in One Simple Picture"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Housing Bubble and Everything Bubble in One Simple Picture<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n
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To understand the magnitude of the housing bubbles simply compare the index of wages to the index of prices.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n
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How Did We Get Here?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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That’s easy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\u200b<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Average Wages vs CPI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\u200b<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Note the correct CPU comparison for this chart is CPI-W not CPI-U, not that it matters much.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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No matter what official CPI one uses, the chart is a joke. Why? The CPI only reflects rent, not actual housing prices.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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The Fed made this mistake during the housing bubble and they made it again from 2011 to present.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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More bubbles will burts and that is very deflationary. By chasing its tail, the Fed creates the very conditions it seeks to prevent.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Price Deflation Not a Problem<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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For years, the Fed desperately sought more inflation. However, a BIS Study on the Historical Costs of Deflation<\/strong><\/a> shows routine price deflation is not a problem.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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According to the BIS, \u201cDeflation may actually boost output. Lower prices increase real incomes and wealth. And they may also make export goods more competitive<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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My Challenge to Keynesians \u201cProve Rising Prices Provide an Overall Economic Benefit\u201d<\/strong><\/a> has gone unanswered.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Meanwhile, people keep faith in the Phillips’ Curve. It’s pathetic.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Related Articles<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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  1. Housing Liquidity Crisis Coming: Debt Deflation Follows<\/a><\/li>\n
  2. Fed Study Shows Phillips Curve Is Useless: Admitting the Obvious<\/a><\/li>\n
  3. How the Fed’s Inflation Policies Crucify Workers in Pictures<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Housing Bubble and Everything Bubble in One Simple Picture To understand the magnitude of the housing bubbles simply compare the index of wages to the index of prices. How Did We Get Here? That’s easy. \u200b Average Wages vs CPI \u200b Note the correct CPU comparison for this chart is CPI-W not CPI-U, not that […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[17853,406,14648,13390,2227,1808],"class_list":["post-35799","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-everything-bubble","tag-housing-bubble","tag-michael-shedlock","tag-mishtalk","tag-prices","tag-wages"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35799","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=35799"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35799\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35800,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35799\/revisions\/35800"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=35799"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=35799"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=35799"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}