{"id":34980,"date":"2018-06-11T05:57:58","date_gmt":"2018-06-11T10:57:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=34980"},"modified":"2018-06-11T05:57:58","modified_gmt":"2018-06-11T10:57:58","slug":"the-role-of-shadow-banking-in-the-business-cycle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=34980","title":{"rendered":"The Role of Shadow Banking in the Business Cycle"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"wrapper entry-header page-header\">\n<div class=\"title-with-sep single-title\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cobdencentre.org\/2018\/06\/the-role-of-shadow-banking-in-the-business-cycle\/\">THE ROLE OF SHADOW BANKING IN THE BUSINESS CYCLE<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<div class=\"grids\">\n<div class=\"grid-8 column-1\">\n<div class=\"single-box clearfix entry-content\">\n<div class=\"body-content clearfix\">\n<blockquote><p><a id=\"footnoteref1_1c03ult\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"At the end of 2007, the velocity of collateral, i.e. the ratio of pledged collateral to underlying assets, was 3. This means that shadow banking system granted credit three times larger than underlying collateral (Singh, 2011, p. 15).\" href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/wire\/role-shadow-banking-business-cycle#footnote1_1c03ult\">1<\/a>The process of lending and the uninterrupted flow of credit to the real economy no longer rely only on banks, but on a process that spans a network of banks, broker-dealers, asset managers, and shadow banks funded through wholesale funding and capital markets globally. \u2013 Pozsaret et al., 2013, p. 10<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h4>I. Introduction<\/h4>\n<p>According to the standard version of the Austrian business cycle theory (e.g., Mises, 1949), the business cycle is caused by credit expansion conducted by commercial banks operating on the basis of fractional reserve.<a id=\"footnoteref2_pzj4r8w\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"I assume that the orthodox version of the Austrian business cycle theory is very well known among the readers. In short, commercial banks operating under the fractional reserve system can create circulation credit, which increases the money supply and lowers the market interest rate below the natural level determined by the social time preference. The expanded money supply and artificially lower interest rates result in the cluster of entrepreneurial errors or malinvestments. The initial boom inevitably leads to a bust, as consumer preferences did not change. See Hayek (1935), Mises (1949), Garrison (2001), Huerta de Soto (2006).\" href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/wire\/role-shadow-banking-business-cycle#footnote2_pzj4r8w\">2<\/a>Although true, this view may be too narrow or outdated, because other financial institutions can also expand credit.<a id=\"footnoteref3_kmq8i8o\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"To be clear, when I write about \u201ccredit expansion\u201d I mean loans granted in excess of monetary savings available for lending. In other words, it is important to differentiate between \u201ccommodity credit\u201d or \u201ctransfer credit\u201d from \u201ccirculation credit.\u201d According to Mises (1928, pp. 104\u2013105), the former is credit \u201cwhich a bank grants by lending its own funds or funds placed at its disposal by depositors,\u201d while the latter is credit \u201cwhich is granted by the creation of fiduciary media, i.e., notes and deposits not covered by money.\u201d Hence, only an increase in circulation credit results in money creation and lowers interest rates, generating the business cycle. On the contrary, credit fully backed by reserves does not lead to such effects.\" href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/wire\/role-shadow-banking-business-cycle#footnote3_kmq8i8o\">3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>First, commercial banks are not the only type of depository institutions. This category includes, in the United States, savings banks, thrift institutions, and credit unions, which also keep fractional reserves and conduct credit expansion (Feinman, 1993, p. 570).<a id=\"footnoteref4_juygzxy\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"According to Palyi (1961, p. 138), \u201csavings banks and associations do exactly what commercial banks do: they build a credit structure on fractional reserves.\u201d\" href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/wire\/role-shadow-banking-business-cycle#footnote4_juygzxy\">4<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Second, some financial institutions offer instruments that mask their nature as demand deposits (Huerta de Soto, 2006, pp. 155\u2013165 and 584\u2013600). The best example may be money market funds.<a id=\"footnoteref5_k8sbar5\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"There is a debate in the Austrian literature whether money market mutual funds should be considered money. Haymond (2000) argues that they are money substitutes, while Rothbard (1978), Salerno (1987) and Shostak (2000) disagree. Although the latter authors provide compelling arguments against treating money market mutual funds shares as money, they overlook that \u201cmoney is what people consider as purchasing power, available at once or shortly\u201d (Palyi, 1961, p. 137). Moreover, money market mutual funds filled the vacuum created by the cap on deposit insurance, which suggests that they act like demand deposits, hence they should be included in the money supply. A more detailed analysis of the definition of money supply is beyond the scope of this paper. Another example of demand deposit-like instruments, according to Huerta de Soto (2006, pp. 161\u2013165 and 594\u2013596), may be certain insurance companies that try to guarantee the immediate and complete availability of \u2018premiums\u2019 to the policyholder\" href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/wire\/role-shadow-banking-business-cycle#footnote5_k8sbar5\">5<\/a>\u00a0These were created as a substitute for bank accounts, because Regulation Q prohibited banks from paying interest on demand deposits (Pozsar, 2011, p. 18 n22). Importantly, money market funds commit to maintaining a stable net asset value of their shares that are redeemable at will. This is why money market funds resemble banks in mutual-fund clothing (Tucker, 2012, p. 4), and, in consequence, they face the same maturity mismatching as do banks, which can also entail runs.<a id=\"footnoteref6_u5nbsy5\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"However, please note that new rules in force from October 2016 fundamentally changed the way that money markets funds operate. For example, they require a floating net asset value for institutional (but not for retail) prime money market funds (SEC, 2014). However, the detailed impact of that reform on money market funds is beyond the scope of this paper.\" href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/wire\/role-shadow-banking-business-cycle#footnote6_u5nbsy5\">6<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Many economists point out that repurchase agreements (repos) also resemble demand deposits. They are short term and can be withdrawn at any time, like demand deposits. According to Gorton and Metrick (2009), the financial crisis of 2007\u20132008 was in essence a banking panic in the repo market (\u2018run on repo\u2019).<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>THE ROLE OF SHADOW BANKING IN THE BUSINESS CYCLE 1The process of lending and the uninterrupted flow of credit to the real economy no longer rely only on banks, but on a process that spans a network of banks, broker-dealers, asset managers, and shadow banks funded through wholesale funding and capital markets globally. \u2013 Pozsaret [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[20463,61,98,7418,7380,175,6876],"class_list":["post-34980","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-arkadiusz-sieron","tag-banking","tag-business-cycle","tag-capital-markets","tag-cobden-centre","tag-credit","tag-shadow-banking"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34980","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=34980"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34980\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":34981,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34980\/revisions\/34981"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=34980"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=34980"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=34980"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}