{"id":32548,"date":"2018-03-20T06:19:42","date_gmt":"2018-03-20T11:19:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=32548"},"modified":"2018-03-20T06:20:17","modified_gmt":"2018-03-20T11:20:17","slug":"worst-case-scenario-what-is-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=32548","title":{"rendered":"Worst Case Scenario: What is It?"},"content":{"rendered":"<header>\n<div class=\"story-header-area\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"story-header\">\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/www.themaven.net\/mishtalk\/economics\/worst-case-scenario-what-is-it-xrJ09JxD2EyJqyUuLpeppA\">Worst Case Scenario: What is It?<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"photo\">\n<div class=\"renderable configurableRenderable__3Z77r\">\n<figure class=\"image\">\n<div class=\"picture__28iqY picture loaded\">\n<div class=\"observable\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/imageproxy.themaven.net\/https%3A%2F%2Fs3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com%2Fmaven-user-photos%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2FzmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q%2FM7lu1F6juEiUfQryIAarRg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/imageproxy.themaven.net\/https%3A%2F%2Fs3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com%2Fmaven-user-photos%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2FzmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q%2FM7lu1F6juEiUfQryIAarRg?w=662&amp;q=75&amp;h=406.15458937198065&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=crop 1x, https:\/\/imageproxy.themaven.net\/https%3A%2F%2Fs3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com%2Fmaven-user-photos%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2FzmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q%2FM7lu1F6juEiUfQryIAarRg?w=993&amp;q=75&amp;h=609&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=crop 1.5x, https:\/\/imageproxy.themaven.net\/https%3A%2F%2Fs3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com%2Fmaven-user-photos%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2FzmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q%2FM7lu1F6juEiUfQryIAarRg?w=1324&amp;q=75&amp;h=812&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=crop 2x, https:\/\/imageproxy.themaven.net\/https%3A%2F%2Fs3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com%2Fmaven-user-photos%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2FzmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q%2FM7lu1F6juEiUfQryIAarRg?w=1986&amp;q=75&amp;h=1218&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=crop 3x \" alt=\"\" width=\"662\" height=\"406.15458937198065\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"post-summary\">\n<div class=\"publish-info\">\n<div class=\"authorCard authorCard__SfNCX\">\n<div class=\"picture__28iqY false picture loaded\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"toolsMenu__1zgs3 toolsMenu\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"deck\">This article provides insight as to the way the Fed and all central banks think.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<article class=\"story-body clearfix\">\n<div class=\"body\">\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Worst-case_scenario\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">worst-case scenario<\/a> is a concept in risk management wherein the planner, in planning for potential disasters, considers the most severe possible outcome that can reasonably be projected to occur in a given situation.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>The book <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Worst-Case-Scenario-Survival-Handbook-Extreme\/dp\/0811845389\/ref=pd_lpo_sbs_14_img_2?_encoding=UTF8&amp;link_code=qs&amp;search-type=ss&amp;tag=mish04-20\">Worst Case Scenario Extreme Edition<\/a> provides hands-on strategies for surviving an elephant stampede, a 16-car pile-up, a mine collapse, and a nuclear attack. Discover how to take a bullet, control a runaway hot air balloon, break a gorilla&#8217;s grip, endure a Turkish prison, free a limb from a beartrap, chased by a pack of wolves, or buried alive.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>Alas, the book does not cover worst case Fed scenarios brought about by Fed policies.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Insight into Central Bank Thought Processes<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>The following video explains the way the Fed thought in 2006 and thinks again today regarding &#8220;worst case scenarios&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>Please play the video. It&#8217;s a real hoot.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"renderable configurableRenderable__3Z77r\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"embeddeda4QV5S0KUkKRznWtRgDGxQ-6\" class=\"undefined\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/u5A4Gw20dcw?autoplay=0&amp;enablejsapi=1&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.themaven.net&amp;widgetid=1\" width=\"100%\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>The alleged &#8220;stress tests&#8221; in Europe and the US are bogus.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>Currently, the ECB believes Italy will never leave the eurozone and the EU cannot break up.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>The Fed does not believe they have blown another bubble.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>The interesting thing is the Fed is the very purveyor of bubbles. They do not see it and never will.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>The result is bubbles of increasing amplitude over time.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Fed Uncertainty Principle<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown\">\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>Let&#8217;s do another flashback,. This time to April 3, 2008 to my article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.themaven.net\/mishtalk\/economics\/fed-uncertainty-principle-g7EeKBV_3UmdMFmsXuw1ng\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fed Uncertainty Principle<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Worst Case Scenario: What is It? This article provides insight as to the way the Fed and all central banks think. A worst-case scenario is a concept in risk management wherein the planner, in planning for potential disasters, considers the most severe possible outcome that can reasonably be projected to occur in a given situation. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1799,19352,303,14648,13390,3335,3650],"class_list":["post-32548","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-bubbles","tag-extreme-case-scenario","tag-fed","tag-michael-shedlock","tag-mishtalk","tag-uncertainty","tag-us-federal-reserve"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32548","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=32548"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32548\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32549,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32548\/revisions\/32549"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=32548"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=32548"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=32548"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}