{"id":32170,"date":"2018-03-10T09:18:38","date_gmt":"2018-03-10T14:18:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=32170"},"modified":"2018-03-10T09:18:51","modified_gmt":"2018-03-10T14:18:51","slug":"fourth-turnings-neil-howe-todays-demographics-defy-conventional-wisdom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=32170","title":{"rendered":"Fourth Turning&#8217;s Neil Howe: &#8220;Today&#8217;s Demographics Defy Conventional Wisdom&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"block-zerohedge-page-title\" class=\"block block-core block-page-title-block\">\n<h3 class=\"page-title\"><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-03-09\/fourth-turnings-neil-howe-todays-demographics-defy-conventional-wisdom\">Fourth Turning&#8217;s Neil Howe: &#8220;Today&#8217;s Demographics Defy Conventional Wisdom&#8221;<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"block-zerohedge-content\" class=\"block block-system block-system-main-block\">\n<article class=\"node node--type-article node--view-mode-full\" role=\"article\">\n<div class=\"node__content\">\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>John Mauldin interviewed Fourth Turning best-selling author and demographics expert, Neil Howe about generational changes and their effect on the markets, during a session at the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mauldineconomics.com\/liveblog\">Strategic Investment Conference 2018<\/a>.\u00a0 Howe said that demographics and generational factors have a huge impact on equity prices in the long run. <strong>Not only that, he thinks that there\u2019s now a generational shift in wealth distribution that could spark major political and economic disruption.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Today\u2019s Demographics Defies Conventional Wisdom<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The main example Howe shared is that people in the 75+ age bracket still dominate stock ownership by far. This defies conventional wisdom that people reduce risk as they retire and leave the workforce. Meanwhile, <strong>Millennials have lower income and stock ownership levels than previous generations did at the same age.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This is a key change as senior adults once had the highest poverty rates. Younger people are now challenging that once-safe assumption.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"caption caption-img\" role=\"group\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/inline-images\/neil%20howe%20teaser%202.JPG?itok=XQcw91w8\" \/><figcaption><em>Neil Howe<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Howe also pointed out striking differences between early and late Baby Boomers. Those born in the mid\/late 1940s inherited some of the Silent Generation\u2019s wealth and good fortune. Late-stage Boomers born in the early 1960s score lower in all kinds of metrics.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Major Political and Financial Disruption Is Ahead<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Neil Howe ended\u00a0 with an update on his <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mauldineconomics.com\/frontlinethoughts\/generational-chaos-ahead\">Fourth Turning generational theory<\/a>. He thinks we are about midway through it. From an economic standpoint, <strong>he foresees inflation fear and Fed tightening, which will be followed by a painful recession.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Politically, Millennials desperately want civic re-engagement. They are seeking to completely restructure institutions. The right wing is a brick wall on this subject and numbers have let them hold off the pressure so far. This will change as Millennials grow older and Boomers die.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fourth Turning&#8217;s Neil Howe: &#8220;Today&#8217;s Demographics Defy Conventional Wisdom&#8221; John Mauldin interviewed Fourth Turning best-selling author and demographics expert, Neil Howe about generational changes and their effect on the markets, during a session at the Strategic Investment Conference 2018.\u00a0 Howe said that demographics and generational factors have a huge impact on equity prices in the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[2889,329,8226,506,4199,19230,12974],"class_list":["post-32170","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-demographics","tag-fourth-turning","tag-john-mauldin","tag-markets","tag-neil-howe","tag-strategic-investment-conference","tag-wealth-distribution"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32170","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=32170"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32170\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32172,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32170\/revisions\/32172"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=32170"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=32170"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=32170"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}