{"id":3173,"date":"2014-12-17T16:02:05","date_gmt":"2014-12-17T21:02:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=3173"},"modified":"2014-12-17T16:02:05","modified_gmt":"2014-12-17T21:02:05","slug":"oil-prices-as-an-indicator-of-global-economic-conditions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=3173","title":{"rendered":"Oil Prices as an Indicator of Global Economic Conditions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.resilience.org\/stories\/2014-12-17\/oil-prices-as-an-indicator-of-global-economic-conditions\">Oil Prices as an Indicator of Global Economic Conditions<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; font: normal normal normal 15px\/21px 'DIN Next W01 Regular', serif; padding: 0px 0px 0.7em 0px; margin: 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\">West Texas Intermediate sold for $105 a barrel at the start of July, but ended last week at $58. The most important factor has been\u00a0<a class=\"external\" style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: #6d8d3b; text-decoration: underline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\" href=\"http:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2014\/10\/lower-oil-prices\" target=\"_blank\">surging U.S. production<\/a>. But another reason oil prices have slid so much is weakness in demand for the product, which may be related to a slowdown of overall world economic growth. Here I comment on the importance of that second factor.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"external\" style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: #6d8d3b; text-decoration: underline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\" href=\"http:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/wti_dec_141.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-22284\" style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; padding: 0px; margin: 10px 20px 10px 0px; border: 0px none initial;\" src=\"http:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/wti_dec_141-1024x680.png\" alt=\"Price of crude oil (West Texas Intermediate, dollars per barrel).  Source: FRED. \" width=\"500\" height=\"332\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; font: normal normal normal 15px\/21px 'DIN Next W01 Regular', serif; padding: 0px 0px 0.7em 0px; margin: 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\">For example, the price of copper fell from $3.27\/pound to $2.93, a 10% drop over those same six months. This of course has nothing to do with the success of people in getting more oil out of rocks in Texas. Softness in demand for commodities like copper and oil may be one indicator of new weakness in the world economy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; font: normal normal normal 15px\/21px 'DIN Next W01 Regular', serif; padding: 0px 0px 0.7em 0px; margin: 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\"><!-- [if gte mso 9]><xml>\n <o:OfficeDocumentSettings>\n  <o:AllowPNG\/>\n <\/o:OfficeDocumentSettings>\n<\/xml><![endif]--> <!-- [if gte mso 9]><xml>\n <w:WordDocument>\n  <w:View>Normal<\/w:View>\n  <w:Zoom>0<\/w:Zoom>\n  <w:TrackMoves\/>\n  <w:TrackFormatting\/>\n  <w:PunctuationKerning\/>\n  <w:ValidateAgainstSchemas\/>\n  <w:SaveIfXMLInvalid>false<\/w:SaveIfXMLInvalid>\n  <w:IgnoreMixedContent>false<\/w:IgnoreMixedContent>\n  <w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText>false<\/w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText>\n  <w:DoNotPromoteQF\/>\n  <w:LidThemeOther>EN-US<\/w:LidThemeOther>\n  <w:LidThemeAsian>JA<\/w:LidThemeAsian>\n  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Global Economic Conditions. West Texas Intermediate sold for $105 a barrel at the start of July, but ended last week at $58. The most important factor has been\u00a0surging U.S. production. But another reason oil prices have slid so much is weakness in demand for the product, which may be [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3],"tags":[151,246,592],"class_list":["post-3173","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-energy-2","tag-commodities","tag-economy","tag-oil-price"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3173","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3173"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3173\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3174,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3173\/revisions\/3174"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3173"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3173"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3173"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}