{"id":30871,"date":"2018-02-12T09:19:09","date_gmt":"2018-02-12T14:19:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=30871"},"modified":"2018-02-12T09:19:09","modified_gmt":"2018-02-12T14:19:09","slug":"rising-debt-rising-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=30871","title":{"rendered":"Rising Debt + Rising Rates"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"posttitle\"><a href=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2018\/02\/11\/rising-debt-rising-rates\/\">Rising Debt + Rising Rates<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"postmetadata\">\n<div class=\"commentcount\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<section id=\"main-content\" class=\"content_row\">\n<article id=\"post-42729\" class=\"post-42729 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-macro-corner tag-debt tag-deficits tag-interest tag-taxes\">\n<div class=\"entry\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/debt.png?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-42736 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/debt.png?resize=206%2C127&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 206px) 100vw, 206px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/debt.png?resize=300%2C185&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/debt.png?resize=150%2C92&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/debt.png?resize=768%2C472&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/debt.png?resize=1024%2C630&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/debt.png?w=1164&amp;ssl=1 1164w\" alt=\"\" width=\"206\" height=\"127\" data-attachment-id=\"42736\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2018\/02\/11\/rising-debt-rising-rates\/debt-60\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/debt.png?fit=1164%2C716&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1164,716\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"debt\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/debt.png?fit=300%2C185&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/debt.png?fit=676%2C416&amp;ssl=1\" \/><\/a>Have they all lost their collective minds? Look I get that some people are leaning Democrat versus Republican and vice versa and that\u2019s fine, but what exactly are voters getting? If, on the one hand, you think Democrats tax and spend too much you get Republicans on the other hand who cut taxes with disproportional benefit to the top 1% and then spend even more. Fiscal conservatives? Please.<\/p>\n<p>In early February the US government was already scheduled to borrow nearly $1 trillion <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/wonk\/wp\/2018\/02\/03\/the-u-s-government-is-set-to-borrow-nearly-1-trillion-this-year\/?utm_term=.333af608bbd5\">this year.<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-42731\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?resize=429%2C287&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 429px) 100vw, 429px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?resize=1024%2C684&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?resize=150%2C100&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?resize=768%2C513&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?resize=180%2C120&amp;ssl=1 180w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?w=1326&amp;ssl=1 1326w\" alt=\"\" width=\"429\" height=\"287\" data-attachment-id=\"42731\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2018\/02\/11\/rising-debt-rising-rates\/borrowing\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?fit=1326%2C886&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1326,886\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"borrowing\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?fit=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/borrowing.png?fit=676%2C452&amp;ssl=1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A week later and that figure is already out the door as\u00a0this week both parties agreed to expand spending caps seemingly preparing for World War III. An incremental hundreds of billions of dollars to the military budget alone in just 2 years. What for? To what end? It\u2019s a bonanza for defense contractors surely and the president apparently wants a parade, but have we entered the math no longer applies zone?<\/p>\n<p>The numbers are staggering:<\/p>\n<article class=\"MediaCard\n           MediaCard--mediaForward\n\n           customisable-border\" dir=\"ltr\" data-scribe=\"component:card\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"MediaCard-media\">\n<hr \/>\n<p><a class=\"MediaCard-borderOverlay\" tabindex=\"-1\" title=\"View image on Twitter\" role=\"presentation\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\/status\/961355004903817218\/photo\/1\"><span class=\"u-hiddenVisually\">View image on Twitter<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"MediaCard-widthConstraint js-cspForcedStyle\" data-style=\"max-width: 711px\">\n<div class=\"MediaCard-mediaContainer js-cspForcedStyle\" data-style=\"padding-bottom: 103.0899%\"><a class=\"MediaCard-mediaAsset NaturalImage\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\/status\/961355004903817218\/photo\/1\" data-scribe=\"element:photo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"NaturalImage-image\" title=\"View image on Twitter\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/DVdrRdBWkAA3K-k?format=jpg&amp;name=small\" alt=\"View image on Twitter\" width=\"712\" height=\"734\" data-image=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/DVdrRdBWkAA3K-k\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<div class=\"EmbeddedTweet-tweet\">\n<blockquote class=\"Tweet h-entry js-tweetIdInfo subject expanded\" cite=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\/status\/961355004903817218\" data-tweet-id=\"961355004903817218\" data-scribe=\"section:subject\">\n<div class=\"Tweet-header u-cf\">\n<div class=\"TweetAuthor js-inViewportScribingTarget\" data-scribe=\"component:author\"><a class=\"TweetAuthor-link Identity u-linkBlend\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\" data-scribe=\"element:user_link\" aria-label=\"Sven Henrich (screen name: NorthmanTrader)\"><span class=\"TweetAuthor-avatar Identity-avatar\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"Avatar Avatar--edge\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/947546147123613702\/XPcqE6bK_normal.jpg\" alt=\"\" data-scribe=\"element:avatar\" data-src-2x=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/947546147123613702\/XPcqE6bK_bigger.jpg\" data-src-1x=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/947546147123613702\/XPcqE6bK_normal.jpg\" \/><\/span><span class=\"TweetAuthor-decoratedName\"><span class=\"TweetAuthor-name Identity-name customisable-highlight\" title=\"Sven Henrich\" data-scribe=\"element:name\">Sven Henrich<\/span><\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<a class=\"TweetAuthor-link Identity u-linkBlend\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\" data-scribe=\"element:user_link\" aria-label=\"Sven Henrich (screen name: NorthmanTrader)\"><span class=\"TweetAuthor-decoratedName\"><span class=\"TweetAuthor-verifiedBadge\" data-scribe=\"element:verified_badge\"><b class=\"u-hiddenVisually\">\u2714<\/b><\/span><\/span><span class=\"TweetAuthor-screenName Identity-screenName\" dir=\"ltr\" title=\"@NorthmanTrader\" data-scribe=\"element:screen_name\">@NorthmanTrader<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Tweet-body e-entry-content\" data-scribe=\"component:tweet\">\n<p class=\"Tweet-text e-entry-title\" dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Ok, if nobody will say it I will: This is insane.<br \/>\nJust the increase alone is larger than Russia&#8217;s entire annual military budget.<br \/>\n&#8220;The budget deal would raise military spending by $80B through the rest of fiscal year and by $85B in fiscal year 2019&#8221;<a class=\"link customisable\" dir=\"ltr\" title=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/congressional-leaders-say-theyve-struck-two-year-budget-deal-2018-02-07?link=sfmw_tw\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MAFzPYVvwv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-expanded-url=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/congressional-leaders-say-theyve-struck-two-year-budget-deal-2018-02-07?link=sfmw_tw\" data-scribe=\"element:url\"><span class=\"u-hiddenVisually\">https:\/\/www.<\/span>marketwatch.com\/story\/congress<span class=\"u-hiddenVisually\">ional-leaders-say-theyve-struck-two-year-budget-deal-2018-02-07?link=sfmw_tw\u00a0<\/span>\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"Tweet-metadata dateline\"><a class=\"u-linkBlend u-url customisable-highlight long-permalink\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\/status\/961355004903817218\" data-datetime=\"2018-02-07T21:44:28+0000\" data-scribe=\"element:full_timestamp\"><time class=\"dt-updated\" title=\"Time posted: February 07, 2018 21:44:28 (UTC)\" datetime=\"2018-02-07T21:44:28+0000\">4:44 PM &#8211; Feb 7, 2018<\/time><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<hr \/>\n<p>The end result? Much, much more borrowing and deficits into the trillion+ range forever and ever amen:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/trillion.jpg?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-42644\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/trillion.jpg?resize=346%2C313&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 346px) 100vw, 346px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/trillion.jpg?resize=1024%2C925&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/trillion.jpg?resize=150%2C136&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/trillion.jpg?resize=300%2C271&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/trillion.jpg?resize=768%2C694&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/trillion.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" alt=\"\" width=\"346\" height=\"313\" data-attachment-id=\"42644\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2018\/02\/10\/weekend-charts-shock-to-the-system\/trillion\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/trillion.jpg?fit=1200%2C1084&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,1084\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"trillion\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/trillion.jpg?fit=300%2C271&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/trillion.jpg?fit=676%2C611&amp;ssl=1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>2019? Looks lot be\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/stancollender\/2018\/02\/09\/2018-budget-deal-is-the-start-of-the-new-normal-in-u-s-politics-and-economy\/#35a47945114c\"><strong>$1.4 Trillion<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>I didn\u2019t see these figures mentioned in any campaign brochures have you? And this is all pre-recession folks. We get a recession and you are looking at 2-3 trillion dollar deficits.<\/p>\n<p>Think I\u2019m going hyperbole on you?<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rising Debt + Rising Rates Have they all lost their collective minds? Look I get that some people are leaning Democrat versus Republican and vice versa and that\u2019s fine, but what exactly are voters getting? If, on the one hand, you think Democrats tax and spend too much you get Republicans on the other hand [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1927,1928,195,431,534,7542,827],"class_list":["post-30871","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-budget","tag-budget-deficit","tag-debt","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","tag-northman-trader","tag-united-states"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30871","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30871"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30871\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30874,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30871\/revisions\/30874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30871"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30871"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30871"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}