{"id":30810,"date":"2018-02-11T12:17:02","date_gmt":"2018-02-11T17:17:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=30810"},"modified":"2018-02-11T12:17:02","modified_gmt":"2018-02-11T17:17:02","slug":"we-are-living-in-a-reality-distortion-mark-spitznagel-warns-this-is-not-over-yet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=30810","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;We Are Living In A Reality Distortion&#8221; Mark Spitznagel Warns &#8220;This Is Not Over Yet&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"block-zerohedge-page-title\" class=\"block block-core block-page-title-block\">\n<h3 class=\"page-title\"><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\"><a href=\"...click on the above link to read the rest of the article...\">&#8220;We Are Living In A Reality Distortion&#8221; Mark Spitznagel Warns &#8220;This Is Not Over Yet&#8221;<\/a><\/span><span style=\"color: #333333; font-size: 16px;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"block-zerohedge-content\" class=\"block block-system block-system-main-block\">\n<article class=\"node node--type-article node--view-mode-full\" role=\"article\">\n<div class=\"node__content\">\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>Just a week before the biggest spike in US equity market volatility ever &#8211; something &#8216;no one&#8217; in the mainstream even thought possible &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-01-17\/mark-spitznagel-warns-reckoning-always-follows\">Universa&#8217;s Mark Spitznagel warned<strong><em> &#8220;a reckoning always follows&#8230;something really big is coming&#8221;<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>This is an age of massive artificial economic imbalances and systemic risks.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Repress change, and you repress all that it means. Repressing it is sheer hubris and, in Dylan\u2019s words, \u201cbeyond your command.\u201d <strong>You can only defer it, not stop it.<\/strong> (Juxtapose this view with outgoing U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen\u2019s ambitious claim that there will not be another financial crisis \u201cin our lifetimes.\u201d) <strong>When we try enforcing stability by decree, a reckoning always follows.<\/strong> An unsustainable boom leads headlong to an inevitable bust. A hard rain falls.<\/p>\n<p>Rather than fear it, we should \u201ctell it and think it and speak it and breathe it.\u201d This is Dylan\u2019s resolve. <strong>Something really big is coming. Let the central bankers try to keep standing in its way, but as investors we need to recognize and accept its logical consequence of a return to the meaning of volatility. <\/strong>Change and volatility are good. \u201cThere is nothing perpetual but change\u201d\u2014according to Mises, who surely must have loved Dylan just as much as I do.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>While this is a common theme from the guru of tail risks, his timing could not have been better. As some might say &#8220;nailed it,&#8221; and Spitznagel was asked to explain how to spot market crashes coming on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2018-02-07\/picking-market-crashes-is-impossible-spitznagel-says-video\">Bloomberg TV this week<\/a>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/multimedia\/api\/embed\/iframe?id=b371505e-9411-4ae0-8810-87fc2063a6b8\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Spitznagel begins by pointing out the obvious, and crushing the business models of 99% of the mainstream media&#8217;s guests:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;My job is not picking the top. My job has always been risk mitigation.<strong> Picking crashes is impossible&#8230; timing crashes is impossible. If you require a forecast in order for your investment thesis to do well, then I think you&#8217;re doing it wrong.<\/strong>&#8220;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;We Are Living In A Reality Distortion&#8221; Mark Spitznagel Warns &#8220;This Is Not Over Yet&#8221;\u00a0 Just a week before the biggest spike in US equity market volatility ever &#8211; something &#8216;no one&#8217; in the mainstream even thought possible &#8211; Universa&#8217;s Mark Spitznagel warned &#8220;a reckoning always follows&#8230;something really big is coming&#8221; This is an age [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[83,11633,4148,501,2443,5024,4318],"class_list":["post-30810","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-bloomberg","tag-mark-spitznagel","tag-market-correction","tag-market-crash","tag-stock-markets","tag-us-equities","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30810","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30810"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30810\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30811,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30810\/revisions\/30811"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30810"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30810"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30810"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}