{"id":30741,"date":"2018-02-09T07:53:03","date_gmt":"2018-02-09T12:53:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=30741"},"modified":"2018-02-09T07:53:03","modified_gmt":"2018-02-09T12:53:03","slug":"long-term-climate-variability-could-fall-as-the-world-warms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=30741","title":{"rendered":"Long-term climate variability \u2018could fall\u2019 as the world warms"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"artTop\">\n<div class=\"shadeBg\">\n<div class=\"owlDesc\">\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/long-term-climate-variability-could-fall-world-warms\">Long-term climate variability \u2018could fall\u2019 as the world warms<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"greyBar\">\n<div class=\"scrollWrapper\">\n<div class=\"scroll-bar\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"innerArt\">\n<p>Long-term climate variability is the range of temperatures and weather patterns experienced by the Earth over a scale of thousands of years. New research suggests it could fall as the world warms.<\/p>\n<p>A study using data taken from fossils and ice cores finds that long-term temperature variability decreased four-fold from the Last Glacial Maximum (<a href=\"http:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/325\/5941\/710\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LGM<\/a>) around 21,000 years ago to the start of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0033589404000870\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Holocene<\/a> around 11,500 years ago. Within this period, natural processes caused the planet to warm by around 3-8C.<\/p>\n<p>If future global emissions are not curbed, human-driven global warming could cause further large declines in long-term temperature variability, the lead author tells Carbon Brief, which may have far-reaching effects on the world\u2019s seasons and weather.<\/p>\n<p>However, it is still unclear how a decline in long-term variability could affect the frequency of extreme weather events, she adds. This is because the chances of an extreme event happening could be influenced by both short- and long-term climate variability, as well as global temperature rise.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Digging up the past<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The new study, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/nature25454\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">published<\/a> in Nature, is the first to make a global assessment of how long-term temperature variability changed from the LGM to the Holocene.<\/p>\n<p>During the LGM, the world\u2019s last major ice age, snow covered much of Asia, Europe and North America. Yet, within a few thousand years, global temperatures rose by around 3-8C, causing the ice to thaw and the world to enter its current geological period, the Holocene.<\/p>\n<p>The cause of this temperature rise is still disputed by scientists, but <a href=\"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1029\/PA003i003p00361\/full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">research<\/a> suggests the natural release of large stores of CO2 from the world\u2019s oceans may have played a role.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Long-term climate variability \u2018could fall\u2019 as the world warms Long-term climate variability is the range of temperatures and weather patterns experienced by the Earth over a scale of thousands of years. New research suggests it could fall as the world warms. A study using data taken from fossils and ice cores finds that long-term temperature [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[10797,141,13038,18444,369,17599],"class_list":["post-30741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","tag-carbon-brief","tag-climate-change","tag-climate-variability","tag-daisy-dunne","tag-global-warming","tag-warming-temperatures"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30741","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30741"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30741\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30742,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30741\/revisions\/30742"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}