{"id":30066,"date":"2018-01-23T09:30:22","date_gmt":"2018-01-23T14:30:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=30066"},"modified":"2018-01-23T09:30:22","modified_gmt":"2018-01-23T14:30:22","slug":"bob-shiller-warns-worlds-priciest-stock-market-could-absolutely-turn-suddenly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=30066","title":{"rendered":"Bob Shiller Warns World&#8217;s &#8220;Priciest Stock Market&#8221; Could &#8220;Absolutely Turn Suddenly&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"block-zerohedge-page-title\" class=\"block block-core block-page-title-block\">\n<h3 class=\"page-title\"><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-01-23\/bob-shiller-warns-worlds-priciest-stock-market-could-absolutely-turn-suddenly\">Bob Shiller Warns World&#8217;s &#8220;Priciest Stock Market&#8221; Could &#8220;Absolutely Turn Suddenly&#8221;<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"block-zerohedge-content\" class=\"block block-system block-system-main-block\">\n<article class=\"node node--type-article node--view-mode-full\" role=\"article\">\n<div class=\"node__content\">\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller told CNBC Tuesday that a <strong>market correction could come at any time and without warning<\/strong>&#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;People ask &#8216;well what will trigger [a market correction]?&#8217; But <strong>it doesn&#8217;t need a trigger,<\/strong> it&#8217;s the <strong>dynamics of bubbles inherently makes them come to a sudden end eventually<\/strong>&#8230;&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Shiller, who won the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2013 for his work on asset prices and inefficient markets, said that <strong>markets could &#8220;absolutely suddenly turn&#8221; and that he believed the bull market was hard to attribute totally to the U.S. political scene.<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;The strong bull market in the U.S. is <strong>often attributed to the situation in the U.S. but it&#8217;s not unique to the U.S. anyway, so it&#8217;s hard to know what the world story is that&#8217;s driving markets up at this time,<\/strong> I think it&#8217;s more subtle than we recognize,&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/player.cnbc.com\/p\/gZWlPC\/cnbc_global?playertype=synd&amp;byGuid=3000687891&amp;size=530_298\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Additionally <a href=\"https:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/us-stock-market-highest-cape-ratio-by-robert-j--shiller-2018-01\">Shiller writes in Project Syndicate<\/a> that it is impossible to pin down the full cause of the high price of the US stock market, warning that this fact alone should<strong> remind all investors of the importance of diversification, and that the overall US stock market should not be given too much weight in a portfolio<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The level of stock markets differs widely across countries. And <strong>right now, the United States is leading the world. What everyone wants to know is why \u2013 and whether its stock market\u2019s current level is justified.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-line-id=\"736b2925461c4aadaedf960a9fbbf8b1\">We can get a simple intuitive measure of the differences between countries by looking at price-earnings ratios. I have long advocated the cyclically adjusted price-earnings (CAPE) ratio that John Campbell (now at Harvard University) and I developed\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/j.1540-6261.1988.tb04598.x\/full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">30 years ago<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bob Shiller Warns World&#8217;s &#8220;Priciest Stock Market&#8221; Could &#8220;Absolutely Turn Suddenly&#8221; Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller told CNBC Tuesday that a market correction could come at any time and without warning&#8230; &#8220;People ask &#8216;well what will trigger [a market correction]?&#8217; But it doesn&#8217;t need a trigger, it&#8217;s the dynamics of bubbles inherently makes them come [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1726,18100,5186,964,18101,4148,2443,827,4318],"class_list":["post-30066","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-asset-prices","tag-bob-shiller","tag-bull-market","tag-cnbc","tag-inefficient-markets","tag-market-correction","tag-stock-markets","tag-united-states","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30066","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30066"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30066\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30067,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30066\/revisions\/30067"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30066"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30066"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30066"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}