{"id":29382,"date":"2018-01-03T17:39:08","date_gmt":"2018-01-03T22:39:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=29382"},"modified":"2018-01-03T17:39:08","modified_gmt":"2018-01-03T22:39:08","slug":"war-peace-and-recession","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=29382","title":{"rendered":"War, Peace and Recession"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"post-title entry-title\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.econmatters.com\/2018\/01\/war-peace-and-recession.html\">War, Peace and Recession<\/a><\/h3>\n<div id=\"post-body-2334887119569422050\" class=\"post-body\">\n<div id=\"body-post\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"separator\"><a href=\"https:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/-Q0b6HvX2ZCg\/Wk0gy4pZdVI\/AAAAAAAAHtc\/5d_Emw0LVkULiw8HuLwoqCjV3fAXtGI7wCLcBGAs\/s1600\/war-and-peace.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/-Q0b6HvX2ZCg\/Wk0gy4pZdVI\/AAAAAAAAHtc\/5d_Emw0LVkULiw8HuLwoqCjV3fAXtGI7wCLcBGAs\/s320\/war-and-peace.jpg\" width=\"320\" height=\"254\" border=\"0\" data-original-height=\"815\" data-original-width=\"1024\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p>December and January are usually two busy months for researchers as they release prediction\/forecast of the New Year. We are going to briefly discuss two such forecasts here.<br \/>\n<b><br \/>\n<\/b><b>Top 5 World War III Crises<\/b><br \/>\nThe first one is a geopolitical forecast, <a href=\"http:\/\/nationalinterest.org\/blog\/the-buzz\/5-places-world-war-iii-could-start-2018-23686?page=2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">5 Places World War III Could Start in 2018<\/a>, published last month. Now let\u2019s take a quick look at the top five crises that could lead to the greatest conflict in 2018:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><b>North Korea<\/b>: North Korea is probably the worst foreign-policy and war potential facing the world today. The country has repeatedly conducted missile and nuclear tests over the last decade, and North Korea is showing no inclination to relent under US pressure. The neighboring <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtontimes.com\/news\/2018\/jan\/2\/china-covertly-offering-north-korea-missiles-aid-t\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">China is said to secretly support North Korea<\/a>, while president Trump claims he has a bigger nuke button than Kim Jong-un. The escalating tension means likely war conflict between US (South Korea, possibly Japan) vs. North Korea (and China) destabilizing East Asia.<\/li>\n<li><b>Taiwan<\/b>: With only 99 miles from each other across the Taiwan Strait, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.econmatters.com\/search\/label\/China?max-results=7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">China<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.econmatters.com\/search\/label\/Taiwan?max-results=7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Taiwan<\/a> have been blood-feuding for more than 70 years. China on many occasions openly insists on reunification of the two without ruling out the use of force. Partly in response to the increasing Chinese bombers, fighters and military vessels crossing over to the Strait, Taiwan announced it would raise military budget by 2% a year to about $10.7 billion in 2018, while the US seeks to \u201cstrengthen US-Taiwan military alliance\u201d. Potential war conflict: Taiwan (and US, possibly Japan) vs. China and could seriously impact the entire Southeast Asia, and US interests.<\/li>\n<li><b>Ukraine<\/b>: Although there\u2019s supposed to be a cease fire in Easter Ukraine, the country is experiencing increasing violence between Kiev and Moscow-supported local militias and possible collapse of the government altogether. Russia&#8217;s Putin is not shy about taking advantage of the situation with military incursion into Ukraine. Potential war conflict: Europe (and US) vs. Russia<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>War, Peace and Recession December and January are usually two busy months for researchers as they release prediction\/forecast of the New Year. We are going to briefly discuss two such forecasts here. Top 5 World War III Crises The first one is a geopolitical forecast, 5 Places World War III Could Start in 2018, published [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5],"tags":[17755,3391,1264,862,891],"class_list":["post-29382","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-geopolitics","tag-econmatters","tag-peace","tag-recession","tag-war","tag-world-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29382","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29382"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29382\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29383,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29382\/revisions\/29383"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29382"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29382"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29382"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}