{"id":29115,"date":"2017-12-23T10:44:57","date_gmt":"2017-12-23T15:44:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=29115"},"modified":"2017-12-23T10:44:57","modified_gmt":"2017-12-23T15:44:57","slug":"2017-carbon-briefs-end-of-year-review","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=29115","title":{"rendered":"2017: Carbon Brief\u2019s end-of-year review"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"greyBar\">\n<h3 class=\"centerDtls\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/2017-carbon-briefs-end-of-year-review\"><span id=\"thatsthetitle\">2017: Carbon Brief\u2019s end-of-year review<\/span><\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"threeOptIcon\"><em>As the year draws to a close, Carbon Brief takes a look at 2017\u2019s top climate and energy stories through the medium of numbers\u2026<\/em><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"innerArt\">\n<h4>49 countries<\/h4>\n<p>For CO2 emissions to fall, they first have to peak. And research published this year suggests that this is already happening.<\/p>\n<p>The report, produced by the US-based World Resources Institute (WRI), suggests that 49 countries \u2013 which include the UK, US, Australia, Brazil and Canada \u2013 have seen their emissions peak, representing around 36% of current global emissions.<\/p>\n<p>Carbon Brief created an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-wri-data-suggests-emissions-have-already-peaked-49-countries\">interactive chart<\/a> of WRI\u2019s data as part of our coverage.<\/p>\n<p>But how much time does the world collectively have left to reduce its emissions in order to avoid dangerous climate change?<\/p>\n<p>At the beginning of the year, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-four-years-left-one-point-five-carbon-budget\">Carbon Brief<\/a> published our traditional carbon budget update, revealing that just four years of current CO2 emissions would blow what\u2019s left of the budget for a good chance of keeping global temperature rise to 1.5C.<\/p>\n<p>However, in September, a new study published in Nature Geoscience proposed that there might be a little more breathing space to meet the 1.5C limit than previously thought.<\/p>\n<p>As lead author Dr Richard Millar explained in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/guest-post-why-the-one-point-five-warming-limit-is-not-yet-a-geophysical-impossibility\">guest post<\/a>, the study estimates the remaining 1.5C carbon budget from today onwards. This contrasts to previous methods which have been based on cumulative emissions to date. As a result, Millar\u2019s study put the remaining 1.5C budget at around 20 years of current emissions.<\/p>\n<p>The paper caused quite a stir, with parts of the media claiming that climate models \u2013 the basis for carbon budget estimates \u2013 are \u201cwrong\u201d and have overstated the observed warming of the planet.<\/p>\n<p>Carbon Brief <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/factcheck-climate-models-have-not-exaggerated-global-warming\">factchecked<\/a> these claims, showing that the model-observation comparisons in the study depend greatly on the dataset and model outputs used by the authors.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2017: Carbon Brief\u2019s end-of-year review As the year draws to a close, Carbon Brief takes a look at 2017\u2019s top climate and energy stories through the medium of numbers\u2026 49 countries For CO2 emissions to fall, they first have to peak. And research published this year suggests that this is already happening. The report, produced [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,4],"tags":[11370,10797,11134],"class_list":["post-29115","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-2","category-environment","tag-11370","tag-carbon-brief","tag-year-in-review"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29115","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29115"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29115\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29116,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29115\/revisions\/29116"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29115"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29115"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29115"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}