{"id":28468,"date":"2017-12-01T07:23:08","date_gmt":"2017-12-01T12:23:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=28468"},"modified":"2017-12-01T07:23:08","modified_gmt":"2017-12-01T12:23:08","slug":"top-30-risky-banks-does-it-really-matter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=28468","title":{"rendered":"Top 30 Risky Banks \u2013 Does it Really Matter?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pageTitle blogTitle\">\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/world-news\/banking-crisis\/top-30-risky-banks-does-it-really-matter\/\">Top 30 Risky Banks \u2013 Does it Really Matter?<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mainContent\">\n<div class=\"contentWrap\">\n<div class=\"contentMeta\">\n<h6 class=\"blogBreadcrumb postDate\"><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"theContent\">\n<p><a class=\"fancybox image\" href=\"https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/Hoover-Quote.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-52239\" src=\"https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/Hoover-Quote-1024x548.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/Hoover-Quote-1024x548.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/Hoover-Quote-300x161.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/Hoover-Quote-768x411.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/Hoover-Quote-180x96.jpg 180w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/Hoover-Quote-600x321.jpg 600w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/Hoover-Quote.jpg 1235w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"548\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Royal Bank of Canada (RPC) has been added to the list of the top 30 banks posing the greatest risk. The top US bank is\u00a0JP Morgan which is now the only bank required to hold an extra 2.5% of common equity after its US peer Citigroup moved down a tier required to hold 2% extra.<\/p>\n<p>All of this is very nice, but also misleading. The Stress Tests by no means are realistic. It is assuming a single failure and certainly does not even take into consideration a <strong>CONTAGION<\/strong>, which nobody understands and there have been no models that will even simulate such events outside of what we have specialized in. The\u00a0<strong>CONTAGION <\/strong>is what created the Great Depression and Herbert Hoover in his memoirs explain how capital acted \u201clike a loose cannon on the deck of the world in a tempest-tossed ers.\u201d Even the <strong>CONTAGION<\/strong> that hit in 2010 when Greece petitioned the IMF for a loan and traders immediately looked to see which country would be next, people do not understand that once blood is drawn, capital responds rapidly in the entire spectrum.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"fancybox image\" href=\"https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/1998-LTCM-Contagion.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-59832 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/1998-LTCM-Contagion-1024x528.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 617px) 100vw, 617px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/1998-LTCM-Contagion-1024x528.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/1998-LTCM-Contagion-300x155.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/1998-LTCM-Contagion-768x396.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/1998-LTCM-Contagion-273x140.jpg 273w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/1998-LTCM-Contagion-180x93.jpg 180w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/1998-LTCM-Contagion-600x310.jpg 600w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/1998-LTCM-Contagion.jpg 1343w\" alt=\"\" width=\"617\" height=\"318\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Even during the Long-Term Capital Management debacle in 1998, the crisis was in Russia. That sets off a need for liquidity and then all other markets are liquidated\u00a0trying to raise cash. This is how a <strong>CONTAGION<\/strong> unfolds overpowering the fundamental analysis entirely.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"fancybox image\" href=\"https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/1931-Dow-Sov-Debt-Crisis.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-71122 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/1931-Dow-Sov-Debt-Crisis.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 446px) 100vw, 446px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/1931-Dow-Sov-Debt-Crisis.jpg 629w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/1931-Dow-Sov-Debt-Crisis-300x226.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/1931-Dow-Sov-Debt-Crisis-180x136.jpg 180w, https:\/\/d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/1931-Dow-Sov-Debt-Crisis-600x452.jpg 600w\" alt=\"\" width=\"446\" height=\"336\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Economics to this day still does not comprehend the <strong>CONTAGION<\/strong> that hit in 1931. It is the <strong>CONTAGION<\/strong> that presents the most significant clear and present danger to society as a whole. This is what reshapes countries and politics. We saw in 1933 Hitler, Mao, and FDR all come to power.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Top 30 Risky Banks \u2013 Does it Really Matter? The Royal Bank of Canada (RPC) has been added to the list of the top 30 banks posing the greatest risk. The top US bank is\u00a0JP Morgan which is now the only bank required to hold an extra 2.5% of common equity after its US peer [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[5496,63,1992,5479,690,2983],"class_list":["post-28468","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-armstrong-economics","tag-banks","tag-contagion","tag-martin-armstrong","tag-risk","tag-royal-bank-of-canada"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28468","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28468"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28468\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28469,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28468\/revisions\/28469"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}