{"id":28414,"date":"2017-11-29T08:19:23","date_gmt":"2017-11-29T13:19:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=28414"},"modified":"2017-11-29T08:21:56","modified_gmt":"2017-11-29T13:21:56","slug":"warning-the-us-stock-market-has-a-70-chance-of-crashing-right-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=28414","title":{"rendered":"WARNING: The US Stock Market Has A 70% Chance Of Crashing RIGHT NOW"},"content":{"rendered":"

WARNING: The US Stock Market Has A 70% Chance Of Crashing RIGHT NOW<\/a><\/h3>\n
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\"stockmarketcrash\"<\/p>\n

Vanguard\u2019s chief economist Joe Davis said investors need to be prepared for a significant downturn in the stock market, which is now at a 70 percent chance of crashing.\u00a0 That chance is significantly higher than it has been over the past 60 years.<\/p>\n

The economist added,<\/a>\u201c<\/em>It\u2019s unreasonable to expect rates of returns, which exceeded our own bullish forecast from 2010, to continue.\u201d In its annual report, the company told investors to expect no better than four to six percent returns from stocks in the next five years.\u00a0\u00a0Vanguard, which manages roughly $5 trillion<\/a> in assets and is a proponent of long-term investing, isn\u2019t sounding the alarm bells to scare investors out of the market.\u00a0 They simply want investors to be prepared.<\/p>\n

\u201c<\/em>The risk premium, whether corporate bond spreads <\/a>or the shape of yield curve or earnings yields for stocks have continued to compress,\u201d<\/em>\u00a0said Davis.\u00a0\u201c<\/em>We\u2019re starting to see, for the first time\u2026 some measures of expected risk premiums compressed below areas where we think it can be associated with fair value.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n

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View image on Twitter<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

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\"View<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n
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\"\"<\/span>RT<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\u2714<\/b><\/span><\/span>@RT_com<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\u00a0\u2018The Great Crash of 2018\u2019 will start in the deeper, darker depths of credit market – strategist https:\/\/<\/span>on.rt.com\/8slp\u00a0<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

6:06 AM – Nov 19, 2017<\/a><\/time><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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According to RT<\/em>,<\/a> Davis also said that overreaching is no better a solution for a lower-return environment than getting out of the market entirely. He expressed worries that after hearing of\u00a0\u201c<\/em>lower returns,\u201d<\/em>\u00a0some investors will view that as a catalyst to become more aggressive to generate the returns they have been used to in recent years.<\/p>\n

\u201c<\/em>You need to stay invested, because of lower expected returns,\u201d<\/em>\u00a0Davis said, adding\u00a0\u201c<\/em>Don\u2019t become overly aggressive. The next five years will be challenging, and investors need to have their eyes wide open.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WARNING: The US Stock Market Has A 70% Chance Of Crashing RIGHT NOW Vanguard\u2019s chief economist Joe Davis said investors need to be prepared for a significant downturn in the stock market, which is now at a 70 percent chance of crashing.\u00a0 That chance is significantly higher than it has been over the past 60 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[14994,17253,6489,1291,13746,6490,2731,17252],"class_list":["post-28414","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-14994","tag-joe-davis","tag-mac-slavo","tag-rt","tag-russia-today","tag-shtfplan-com","tag-stock-market-crash","tag-vanguard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28414","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28414"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28414\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28418,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28414\/revisions\/28418"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28414"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28414"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28414"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}