{"id":27905,"date":"2017-11-13T06:58:05","date_gmt":"2017-11-13T11:58:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=27905"},"modified":"2017-11-13T06:58:05","modified_gmt":"2017-11-13T11:58:05","slug":"state-of-the-climate-2017-shaping-up-to-be-warmest-non-el-nino-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=27905","title":{"rendered":"State of the climate: 2017 shaping up to be warmest \u2018non-El Ni\u00f1o\u2019 year"},"content":{"rendered":"
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State of the climate: 2017 shaping up to be warmest \u2018non-El Ni\u00f1o\u2019 year<\/a><\/h3>\n

Much of the year, though the summer Arctic minimum was only the <\/span>eighth lowest on record<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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2017 is also almost certain to be the warmest year without an El Ni\u00f1o event<\/a>. When the effects of El Ni\u00f1o<\/a> and La Ni\u00f1a are removed from the temperature record, the first nine months of 2017 are likely the warmest ever recorded.<\/p>\n

Near-record warm temperatures<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ten months in, 2017 is very likely going to be either the second warmest or third warmest year on record, depending on the temperature series used. While there was some speculation<\/a> earlier in the year that it could challenge 2016 for first place, colder temperatures in the period from June through September have largely eliminated any chance of a new record.<\/p>\n

Carbon Brief has examined global temperature data from eight different climate centres around the world, both for the Earth\u2019s surface and the lower troposphere (TLT). Temperatures for the full year of 2017 were estimated using the data available to-date for each dataset, along with projection of the El Ni\u00f1o Index<\/a> for the remainder of 2017 (see methods at the end of the article for technical details).<\/p>\n

The results are shown in the figure below. Annual temperatures from 1979 through 2016 are shown in black for each record, while the likely (95% confidence interval) range of the 2017 annual temperature is shown by the red bar.<\/p>\n

The last two records shown, RSS and UAH, come from satellite data and are measuring the atmosphere on average around 5 km up from the surface<\/a>. While these have similarities to surface temperatures, they are not expected to always respond in the same way to El Ni\u00f1o or other factors.<\/p>\n

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

State of the climate: 2017 shaping up to be warmest \u2018non-El Ni\u00f1o\u2019 year Much of the year, though the summer Arctic minimum was only the eighth lowest on record. 2017 is also almost certain to be the warmest year without an El Ni\u00f1o event. When the effects of El Ni\u00f1o and La Ni\u00f1a are removed […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[10797,141,252,369,1219,16103],"class_list":["post-27905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","tag-carbon-brief","tag-climate-change","tag-el-nino","tag-global-warming","tag-weather","tag-zeke-hausfacher"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27905","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27905"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27905\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27906,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27905\/revisions\/27906"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27905"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27905"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27905"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}