{"id":2737,"date":"2014-12-10T12:12:57","date_gmt":"2014-12-10T17:12:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=2737"},"modified":"2014-12-10T12:12:57","modified_gmt":"2014-12-10T17:12:57","slug":"the-treasurys-worst-case-scenario-over-3-3-trillion-in-student-loans-in-a-decade-zero-hedge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=2737","title":{"rendered":"The Treasury&#8217;s Worst-Case Scenario: Over $3.3 Trillion In Student Loans In A Decade | Zero Hedge"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2014-12-10\/treasurys-worst-case-scenario-over-33-trillion-student-loans-decade-and-32-default-r\">The Treasury&#8217;s Worst-Case Scenario: Over $3.3 Trillion In Student Loans In A Decade | Zero Hedge<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0.25em; margin-bottom: 0.75em; display: block;\">One of the recurring topics on Zero Hedge over the past 3 years has been the relentless increase in student loans which, as a result of their cumulative default and loss severity (including those loans which are &#8220;merely&#8221; in deferment and forbearance) has\u00a0<a style=\"text-decoration: none; color: #1e439a;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2012-09-28\/next-subprime-crisis-here-over-120-billion-federal-student-loans-default\">surpassed the subprime bubble\u00a0<\/a>in terms of size.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0.25em; margin-bottom: 0.75em; display: block;\">In fact, as the following table from the TBAC shows, the actual default risk from student loans is several orders of magnitude above the 9% student loans which the Fed has revealed as currently &#8220;in default&#8221;, as one has to add those 12% of loans in deferment and 11% in forbearance to the entire risk pool. In short:\u00a0<strong>a third of all student loans are likely to end up unrepaid!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0.25em; margin-bottom: 0.75em; display: block;\"><a style=\"text-decoration: none; color: #1e439a;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user5\/imageroot\/2014\/12\/student%20loans%20at%20risk%20of%20default.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"max-width: 100%; height: auto; border: 0px initial initial;\" src=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user5\/imageroot\/2014\/12\/student%20loans%20at%20risk%20of%20default_0.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"189\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0.25em; margin-bottom: 0.75em; display: block;\">Why is this number a problem? Because as the TBAC also forecasts, in its worst economic case scenario for the millennial generation (which sadly, based on recent employment and income trends for America&#8217;s young adults is more like the base case scenario), total student loans, which currently stand a little over $1 trillion (or more than all the credit card debt in America), is set to triple in just the next decade, hitting a whopping $3.3 trillion by 2024.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0.25em; margin-bottom: 0.75em; display: block;\"><!-- [if gte mso 9]><xml>\n <w:WordDocument>\n  <w:Zoom>0<\/w:Zoom>\n  <w:DisplayHorizontalDrawingGridEvery>0<\/w:DisplayHorizontalDrawingGridEvery>\n  <w:DisplayVerticalDrawingGridEvery>0<\/w:DisplayVerticalDrawingGridEvery>\n  <w:UseMarginsForDrawingGridOrigin\/>\n <\/w:WordDocument>\n<\/xml><![endif]--> <!--StartFragment--><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: LucidaGrande; color: #282828;\">&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0.25em; margin-bottom: 0.75em; display: block;\"><!--EndFragment--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Treasury&#8217;s Worst-Case Scenario: Over $3.3 Trillion In Student Loans In A Decade | Zero Hedge. One of the recurring topics on Zero Hedge over the past 3 years has been the relentless increase in student loans which, as a result of their cumulative default and loss severity (including those loans which are &#8220;merely&#8221; in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1806,1803,1805,1804],"class_list":["post-2737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-bubble","tag-student-debt","tag-student-loans","tag-tbac"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2737"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2737\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2738,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2737\/revisions\/2738"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}