{"id":27206,"date":"2017-10-25T05:52:21","date_gmt":"2017-10-25T10:52:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=27206"},"modified":"2017-10-25T05:52:21","modified_gmt":"2017-10-25T10:52:21","slug":"falling-interest-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=27206","title":{"rendered":"Falling Interest Rates"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"art-postmetadataheader\">\n<h3 class=\"art-postheader\"><a title=\"Permanent Link to Falling Interest Rates\" href=\"http:\/\/www.acting-man.com\/?p=51678\" rel=\"bookmark\">Falling Interest Rates <\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"art-postcontent\">\n<p><strong>Amassing Unproductive Debt<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Last week, we discussed the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.acting-man.com\/?p=51628\">marginal productivity of debt<\/a>. This is how much each newly-borrowed dollar adds to GDP. And ever since the interest rate began its falling trend in 1981, marginal productivity of debt has tightly correlated with interest. The lower the interest rate, the less productive additional borrowing has in fact become.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-51681\" src=\"http:\/\/www.acting-man.com\/blog\/media\/2017\/10\/Ikea-and-Task-Rabbit-1024x476.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.acting-man.com\/blog\/media\/2017\/10\/Ikea-and-Task-Rabbit-1024x476.jpg 1024w, http:\/\/www.acting-man.com\/blog\/media\/2017\/10\/Ikea-and-Task-Rabbit-300x140.jpg 300w, http:\/\/www.acting-man.com\/blog\/media\/2017\/10\/Ikea-and-Task-Rabbit-768x357.jpg 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"326\" \/>Left: the first IKEA store located in \u00c4lmhult in Sweden, near the residence of the company\u2019s founder (nowadays the store is a museum); right: a Task Rabbit car. Given the valuations at which TaskRabbit was able to raise funds recently, it is a good bet IKEA paid a small fortune to take it over (waiting for the QE-induced bubble to burst may have been cheaper). [PT]<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s look at a recent event: the Ikea acquisition of TaskRabbit. You might wonder, why does a home goods company need to own a freelance labor company? Superficially, it seems to makes sense. Ikea products notoriously come in flat packs, but consumers don\u2019t want to fuss with all the little parts. They just want finished furniture. Ikea has been using TaskRabbit to hire people to assemble it in their homes.<\/p>\n<p>Isn\u2019t this like that caricature of the billionaire who buys, say, the Planters Peanut company because he likes to eat salted nuts? Ikea could be a customer of TaskRabbit, hiring its temporary workers as needed, without owning the company. In fact, it had been doing that for years.<\/p>\n<p>The acquisition price was not disclosed, however, we can guess that it was high. TaskRabbit was a Silicon Valley darling with a bright future. Its value proposition is right for this economy. It had raised $50 million, presumably at rich valuation multiples.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Falling Interest Rates Amassing Unproductive Debt Last week, we discussed the marginal productivity of debt. This is how much each newly-borrowed dollar adds to GDP. And ever since the interest rate began its falling trend in 1981, marginal productivity of debt has tightly correlated with interest. The lower the interest rate, the less productive additional [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[5728,195,353,431,7957,16662,16663],"class_list":["post-27206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-acting-man","tag-debt","tag-gdp","tag-interest-rates","tag-keith-weiner","tag-marginal-productivity-of-debt","tag-unproductive-debt"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27206","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27206"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27206\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27207,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27206\/revisions\/27207"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}