{"id":23436,"date":"2017-04-03T15:07:19","date_gmt":"2017-04-03T20:07:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=23436"},"modified":"2017-04-03T15:07:19","modified_gmt":"2017-04-03T20:07:19","slug":"howards-energy-superpower-stuck-in-domestic-gas-shortages","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=23436","title":{"rendered":"Howard\u2019s energy superpower stuck in domestic gas shortages"},"content":{"rendered":"

Howard\u2019s energy superpower stuck in domestic gas shortages<\/a><\/h3>\n
\n

On hot days the truth comes out. Critical power plants for peak demand run on gas and that was short in supply, not only in South Australia, but also in NSW, as was shown in this previous post<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"Multiple_power_systems_failure_NSW_10Feb2017\"Fig 1: Gas shortage contributed to multiple systems failure<\/p>\n

The above information is taken from AEMO\u2019s website POWER SYSTEM OPERATING INCIDENT REPORTS<\/a><\/p>\n

with this incident report for the 10th of February<\/a>.
\n\"NSW_generation_by_type_10Feb2017\"<\/p>\n

Fig 2: Electricity generation by fuel in a heat wave<\/p>\n

In Fig 2 we can see the dependency of the power supply on gas.<\/p>\n

In AEMO\u2019s Gas Statement of Opportunities March 2017 we find a graph with declining gas production from proved and probable reserves, together with this statement:<\/p>\n

\u201cAEMO\u2019s analysis highlights that these domestic gas markets will rely on production from currently uneconomic and undeveloped gas resources (contingent resources) from 2021, and even more uncertain resources (prospective resources) from 2025, to meet forecast demand over the 20-year outlook period.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\"AEMO_GSOO_2017_Fig1_domestic\"
\nFig 3: Domestic gas production profile from conventional sources,
\ncompiled i.a. on the basis of advice from producers<\/p>\n

\u201cFor the purposes of GSOO modelling, AEMO has assumed that all LNG demand will be met and that GPG [Gas Powered Generation] will be a lower priority for gas supply. In its modelling, AEMO has assumed that, if gas was unavailable for electricity generation, another fuel type (such as coal-fired or hydroelectric generation) could be substituted \u2013 an assumption likely to be increasingly challenged as the electricity supply demand balance tightens.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cIndustry data shows that the rate of exploration and development of oil and gas wells recently drilled in Australia has nearly halved. Gas extraction is becoming increasingly challenging for all producers, due to a variety of factors:<\/em><\/p>\n

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Howard\u2019s energy superpower stuck in domestic gas shortages On hot days the truth comes out. Critical power plants for peak demand run on gas and that was short in supply, not only in South Australia, but also in NSW, as was shown in this previous post. Fig 1: Gas shortage contributed to multiple systems failure […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[41,15081,6292,8715],"class_list":["post-23436","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-2","tag-australia","tag-australian-gas","tag-crude-oil-peak","tag-gas-shortages"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23436","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=23436"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23436\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23437,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23436\/revisions\/23437"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=23436"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=23436"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=23436"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}