{"id":22006,"date":"2016-10-16T12:21:12","date_gmt":"2016-10-16T17:21:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=22006"},"modified":"2016-10-16T12:21:12","modified_gmt":"2016-10-16T17:21:12","slug":"considering-the-coming-megadrought-in-the-american-southwest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=22006","title":{"rendered":"Considering the Coming Megadrought in the American Southwest"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"post-title\"><a href=\"http:\/\/downwithtyranny.blogspot.ca\/2016\/10\/the-coming-megadrought-in-american.html\">Considering the Coming Megadrought in the American Southwest<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"post-body\">\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-fOD5bUwuHyI\/VaexG3BP_HI\/AAAAAAAABYg\/X7uReZiT0AAxa2uPQp9eScaIIZFypX0ewCPcB\/s1600\/drought_2015.07.14_current_usdm.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-fOD5bUwuHyI\/VaexG3BP_HI\/AAAAAAAABYg\/X7uReZiT0AAxa2uPQp9eScaIIZFypX0ewCPcB\/s400\/drought_2015.07.14_current_usdm.png\" width=\"400\" height=\"308\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div><i>Drought status in the U.S. as of 2015. Note the color-coded legend in the lower-right portion of the graphic (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.drought.gov\/drought\/content\/products-current-drought-and-monitoring-drought-indicators\/us-drought-monitor\">source<\/a>; click to enlarge)<\/i><\/div>\n<p>I&#8217;ve written in the past about two of the most climate-vulnerable regions of the U.S., Florida and the American Southwest. (A third region, the Pacific Northwest, is vulnerable, but to a non-climate event, a\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/magazine\/2015\/07\/20\/the-really-big-one\">magnitude 9.0 mega-earthquake<\/a>.) Here I want to look again to the problems of California and the Southwest.<\/p>\n<p>Much of the water that sustains California, southern Nevada, Arizona, and surrounding areas comes from the ever-drying Colorado River. Just as it&#8217;s now clear that we&#8217;ve\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/downwithtyranny.blogspot.com\/2015\/06\/have-we-passed-tipping-point-for.html\">passed the tipping point for extreme weather<\/a>, we&#8217;re also very likely passed the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/digbysblog.blogspot.com\/2015\/04\/how-growers-are-gaming-california.html#CApeakwater\" target=\"_blank\">tipping point<\/a>\u00a0for the long-term habitability of the American Southwest.<\/p>\n<p>The report is from NASA; the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ecowatch.com\/megadroughts-2031955357.html\" target=\"_blank\">write-up<\/a>\u00a0is from EcoWatch (my emphasis):<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"tr_bq\"><p><b>NASA: Megadrought Lasting Decades Is 99% Certain in American Southwest<\/b><\/p>\n<p>A study released in\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/advances.sciencemag.org\/content\/2\/10\/e1600873.full\" target=\"_blank\">Science Advances<\/a>\u00a0Wednesday finds strong evidence for severe, long-term\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ecowatch.com\/california-drought-2028825947.html\">droughts<\/a>\u00a0afflicting the American Southwest, driven by\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ecowatch.com\/climate-change\/\">climate change<\/a>.\u00a0<b>A\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ecowatch.com\/nasa-scientists-future-megadroughts-could-last-30-years-thanks-to-huma-1882012356.html\">megadrought<\/a>\u00a0lasting decades is 99 percent certain<\/b>\u00a0to hit the region this century, said scientists from Cornell University, the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University and the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Historically, megadroughts were extremely rare phenomena occurring only once or twice per millennium,&#8221; the report states. &#8220;According to our analysis of modeled responses to increased GHGs, these events could become commonplace if climate change goes unabated.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ecowatch.com\/2016-on-track-worlds-hottest-year-on-record-1937821748.html\">Rising temperatures<\/a>\u00a0will combine with decreased rainfall in the Southwest to create droughts that will be worse than the historic &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Dust_Bowl\" target=\"_blank\">Dust Bowl<\/a>&#8221; of the 20th century and last far longer.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Considering the Coming Megadrought in the American Southwest Drought status in the U.S. as of 2015. Note the color-coded legend in the lower-right portion of the graphic (source; click to enlarge) I&#8217;ve written in the past about two of the most climate-vulnerable regions of the U.S., Florida and the American Southwest. (A third region, the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[14464,101,14463,220,12914,827],"class_list":["post-22006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","tag-american-southwest","tag-california","tag-down-with-tyranny","tag-drought","tag-gaius-publius","tag-united-states"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22006","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=22006"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22006\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22007,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22006\/revisions\/22007"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=22006"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=22006"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=22006"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}