{"id":20533,"date":"2016-05-08T08:40:27","date_gmt":"2016-05-08T13:40:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=20533"},"modified":"2016-05-08T08:40:27","modified_gmt":"2016-05-08T13:40:27","slug":"is-globalization-really-fueling-populism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=20533","title":{"rendered":"Is Globalization Really Fueling Populism?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Is Globalization Really Fueling Populism?<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n
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BRUSSELS \u2013 On both sides of the Atlantic, populism of the left and the right is on the rise. Its most visible standard-bearer in the United States is\u00a0Donald Trump<\/a>, the Republican Party\u2019s presumptive presidential nominee. In Europe, there are many strands \u2013 from Spain\u2019s leftist Podemos party to France\u2019s right-wing National Front \u2013 but all share the same opposition to centrist parties, and to the establishment in general. What accounts for voters\u2019 growing revolt against the\u00a0status quo<\/i>?<\/p>\n

The prevailing explanation is that rising populism amounts to a rebellion by \u201cglobalization\u2019s losers.\u201d By pursuing successive rounds of trade liberalization, the logic goes, leaders in the US and Europe \u201chollowed out\u201d the domestic manufacturing base, reducing the availability of high-paying jobs for low-skill workers, who now have to choose between protracted unemployment and menial service-sector jobs. Fed up, those workers are now supposedly rejecting establishment parties for having spearheaded this \u201celite project.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"minting<\/a><\/p>\n

Central Banking\u2019s Final Frontier?<\/h2>\n

Anatole Kaletsky<\/b>\u00a0weighs the views of Raghuram Rajan, Adair Turner, Stephen Roach, and others on how far today\u2019s increasingly exotic monetary policies can and should go.<\/h3>\n<\/section>\n

This explanation might seem compelling at first. It is true, after all, that globalization has fundamentally transformed economies, sending low-skill jobs to the developing world \u2013 a point that populist figures never tire of highlighting.<\/p>\n

Moreover, educational attainment correlates strongly with income and labor-market performance. Almost everywhere, those with a university degree are much less likely to be unemployed than those without a secondary education. In Europe, those with a graduate degree are, on average, three times as likely to have a job as those who have not finished secondary school. Among the employed, university-educated workers earn, on the whole, much higher incomes than their less-educated counterparts.<\/p>\n

But if these factors account for the rise of populism, they must have somehow intensified in the last few years, with low-skill workers\u2019 circumstances and prospects deteriorating faster vis-\u00e0-vis their high-skill counterparts. And that simply is not the case, especially in Europe.<\/p>\n

In fact, higher education has provided significant labor-market advantages for a long time. Judging from the available data, the \u201cwage premium\u201d for workers in occupations that require high levels of education has been roughly constant in Europe over the last decade. While it has increased in some countries (Germany and Italy), it has decreased in others (France, Spain, and the United Kingdom). The difference in employment rates of the highly educated and the less educated has also remained relatively constant, with the less educated actually closing the gap slightly in recent years.<\/p>\n

A comparison between trends in the US and Europe further weakens the \u201closers of globalization\u201d argument. The wage premium is substantially larger in the US (300-400%) than in Europe (50-80%). Other labor-market statistics, such as unemployment rates, show a similar pattern, indicating that higher education is more valuable in America\u2019s labor market. Yet the US economy is less open to \u2013 and less affected by \u2013 trade than the European economy is.<\/p>\n

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Is Globalization Really Fueling Populism? BRUSSELS \u2013 On both sides of the Atlantic, populism of the left and the right is on the rise. Its most visible standard-bearer in the United States is\u00a0Donald Trump, the Republican Party\u2019s presumptive presidential nominee. In Europe, there are many strands \u2013 from Spain\u2019s leftist Podemos party to France\u2019s right-wing […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,6],"tags":[12299,4651,370,2813,13781,8402],"class_list":["post-20533","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitics","category-liberty","tag-daniel-gros","tag-globalisation","tag-globalization","tag-manufacturing","tag-populism","tag-project-syndicate"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20533","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20533"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20533\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20534,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20533\/revisions\/20534"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20533"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20533"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20533"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}