{"id":20378,"date":"2016-05-02T05:55:15","date_gmt":"2016-05-02T10:55:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=20378"},"modified":"2016-05-02T05:55:15","modified_gmt":"2016-05-02T10:55:15","slug":"the-global-growth-funk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=20378","title":{"rendered":"The Global Growth Funk"},"content":{"rendered":"
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The Global Growth Funk<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n
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NEW YORK \u2013 The International Monetary Fund and others have recently revised downward their forecasts for global growth \u2013 yet again. Little wonder: The world economy has few bright spots \u2013 and many that are dimming rapidly.<\/p>\n

Among advanced economies, the United States has just experienced two quarters of growth averaging 1%. Further monetary easing has boosted a cyclical recovery in the eurozone, though potential growth in most countries remains well below 1%. In Japan, \u201cAbenomics\u201d is running out of steam, with the\u00a0economy slowing<\/a>\u00a0since mid-2015 and now close to recession. In the United Kingdom, uncertainty surrounding the June referendum on continued European Union membership is leading firms to keep hiring and capital spending on hold. And other advanced economies \u2013 such as Canada, Australia, Norway \u2013 face headwinds from low commodity prices.<\/p>\n

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Things are not much better in most emerging economies. Among the five BRICS countries, two (Brazil and Russia) are in recession, one (South Africa) is barely growing, another (China) is experiencing a sharp structural slowdown, and India is doing well only because \u2013 in the words of its central bank governor,\u00a0Raghuram Rajan<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 in the kingdom of the blind, the one-eyed man is king. Many other emerging markets have slowed since 2013 as well, owing to weak external conditions, economic fragility (stemming from loose monetary, fiscal, and credit policies in the good years), and, often, a move away from market-oriented reforms and toward variants of state capitalism.<\/p>\n

Worse, potential growth has also fallen in both advanced and emerging economies. For starters, high levels of private and public debt are constraining spending \u2013 especially growth-enhancing capital spending, which fell (as a share of GDP) after the global financial crisis and has not recovered to pre-crisis levels.<\/p>\n

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Global Growth Funk NEW YORK \u2013 The International Monetary Fund and others have recently revised downward their forecasts for global growth \u2013 yet again. Little wonder: The world economy has few bright spots \u2013 and many that are dimming rapidly. Among advanced economies, the United States has just experienced two quarters of growth averaging […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[9690,151,195,353,1357,418,434,1917,8402],"class_list":["post-20378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","tag-capital-spending","tag-commodities","tag-debt","tag-gdp","tag-global-growth","tag-imf","tag-international-monetary-fund","tag-nouriel-roubini","tag-project-syndicate"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20378","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20378"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20378\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20379,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20378\/revisions\/20379"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}