{"id":20140,"date":"2016-04-21T20:57:45","date_gmt":"2016-04-22T01:57:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=20140"},"modified":"2016-04-21T20:57:45","modified_gmt":"2016-04-22T01:57:45","slug":"limits-to-growth-policies-to-steer-the-economy-away-from-disaster","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=20140","title":{"rendered":"Limits to growth: policies to steer the economy away from disaster"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"magazine\">\n<div class=\"magazine-header\">\n<div class=\"magazine-title\">\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header class=\"grid-twelve large-grid-eleven\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"content-header-block\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title instapaper_title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/limits-to-growth-policies-to-steer-the-economy-away-from-disaster-57721\"><strong>Limits to growth: policies to steer the economy away from\u00a0disaster<\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption>The earth is a finite place.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<div class=\"content-sidebar grid-four large-grid-four grid-last\">\n<section class=\"content-republish\">If the rich nations in the world keep growing their economies by 2% each year and by 2050 the poorest nations catch up, the global economy of more than 9 billion people will be around\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Prosperity-without-Growth-Economics-Finite\/dp\/1849713235\">15 times larger<\/a>\u00a0than it is now, in terms of gross domestic product (GDP). If the global economy then grows by 3% to the end of the century, it will be 60 times larger than now.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"grid-twelve large-grid-eleven\">\n<div class=\"grid-ten large-grid-nine grid-last content-body content entry-content instapaper_body\">\n<p>The existing economy is already\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/347\/6223\/1259855\">environmentally unsustainable<\/a>. It is utterly implausible to think we can \u201cdecouple\u201d economic growth from environmental impact so significantly, especially since recent decades of extraordinary technological advancement have only increased our impacts on the planet,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.pnas.org\/content\/112\/20\/6271.abstract\">not reduced them<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, if you asked politicians whether they\u2019d rather have 4% growth than 3%, they\u2019d all say yes. This makes the growth trajectory outlined above all the more absurd.<\/p>\n<p>Others have shown why limitless growth is a recipe for\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/sustainable.unimelb.edu.au\/sites\/default\/files\/docs\/MSSI-ResearchPaper-4_Turner_2014.pdf\">disaster<\/a>. I\u2019ve argued that living in a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/life-in-a-degrowth-economy-and-why-you-might-actually-enjoy-it-32224\">degrowth economy<\/a>\u00a0would actually increase well-being, both socially and environmentally. But what would it take to get there?<\/p>\n<p>In a\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/d2hqr0jocqnenz.cloudfront.net\/cdn\/farfuture\/RFOgKDaIzpgM9yjt1sW6ZSXfvlC5ZrJve7xLCgiDqh4\/mtime:1461028632\/sites\/default\/files\/docs\/MSSI-IssuesPaper-6_Alexander_2016.pdf\">new paper<\/a>\u00a0published by the Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute, I look at government policies that could facilitate a planned transition beyond growth \u2013 and I reflect on the huge obstacles lying in the way.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Measuring progress<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>First, we need to know what we\u2019re aiming for.<\/p>\n<p>It is now widely recognised that GDP \u2013 the monetary value of all goods and services produced in an economy \u2013 is a\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/thenewpress.com\/books\/mismeasuring-our-lives\">deeply flawed<\/a>\u00a0measure of progress.<\/p>\n<p>GDP can be growing while our environment is being degraded, inequality is\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Capital_in_the_Twenty-First_Century\">worsening<\/a>, and social well-being is\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/The-Spirit-Level-Equality-Societies\/dp\/1608193411\">stagnant or falling<\/a>. Better indicators of progress include the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/rprogress.org\/sustainability_indicators\/genuine_progress_indicator.htm\">Genuine Progress Indicator<\/a>\u00a0(GPI), which accounts for a wide range of social, economic and environmental factors.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Limits to growth: policies to steer the economy away from\u00a0disaster The earth is a finite place.\u00a0 If the rich nations in the world keep growing their economies by 2% each year and by 2050 the poorest nations catch up, the global economy of more than 9 billion people will be around\u00a015 times larger\u00a0than it is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[203,2327,391,9098,485,13591,8487],"class_list":["post-20140","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-survival-2","tag-degrowth","tag-finite-planet","tag-growth","tag-limitless-growth","tag-limits-to-growth","tag-samuel-alexander","tag-the-conversation"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20140","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20140"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20140\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20141,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20140\/revisions\/20141"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20140"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20140"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20140"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}