{"id":19138,"date":"2016-03-24T18:52:10","date_gmt":"2016-03-24T23:52:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=19138"},"modified":"2016-03-24T18:52:10","modified_gmt":"2016-03-24T23:52:10","slug":"what-killed-the-middle-class","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=19138","title":{"rendered":"What Killed the Middle Class?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/www.oftwominds.com\/blogmar16\/death-of-middle-class3-16.html\" target=\"_blank\">What Killed the Middle Class?<\/a><\/h3>\n<p><i>If the four structural trends highlighted below don&#8217;t reverse, the middle class is heading for extinction.\u00a0<\/i><\/p>\n<p><b>Everyone knows the middle class is fading fast.<\/b>\u00a0I&#8217;ve covered this issue in depth for years, for example:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.oftwominds.com\/blogdec15\/shrunken-middle-class12-15.html\" target=\"resource\">Honey, I Shrunk the Middle Class: Perhaps 1\/3 of Households Qualify<\/a>\u00a0(December 28, 2015) and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.oftwominds.com\/blogdec13\/middle-class12-13.html\" target=\"resource\">What Does It Take To Be Middle Class?<\/a>\u00a0(December 5, 2013)<\/p>\n<p><b>This raises an obvious question: what killed the middle class?<\/b>\u00a0While many commentators try to identify one killer cause (for example, the U.S. going off the gold standard in 1971), the die-off of the middle class is more akin to the die-off in honey bees, which is the result of the interaction of multiple causes (factors that increase the toxic load dumped on bees and other pollinators by modern agriculture).<\/p>\n<p><b>Longtime collaborator Gordon T. Long and I discuss the decline of the middle class and other key topics in a new 29-minute video\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/-BBL-fJd9Lo\" target=\"resource\">How did that work out for you?<\/a><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>So where do we begin this detective story? With the engine of all real prosperity, productivity.<\/b>\u00a0This chart reveals that wages stopped rising with productivity around 1980.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.oftwominds.com\/photos2016\/productivity2-16.jpg\" alt=\"\" align=\"center\" border=\"0\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s another look at the same phenomenon:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.oftwominds.com\/photos2015\/productivity8-15.png\" alt=\"\" align=\"center\" border=\"0\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Productivity has been slipping since around 2003:<\/b>\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/mishtalk.com\/2016\/03\/21\/greenspan-worried-about-inflation-says-entitlements-crowding-out-investment-productivity-is-dead\/\" target=\"resource\">Alan Greenspan:&#8221;Productivity is Dead\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.oftwominds.com\/photos2016\/productivity2a.png\" alt=\"\" align=\"center\" border=\"0\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Cause #1: declining productivity, which means the pie of real wealth is no longer expanding.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Exhibit #2: middle class wage earners have not received any of the gains.<\/b>Wages as a percentage of GDP have been falling for decades, with occasional blips up in tech\/housing bubbles:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.oftwominds.com\/photos2015\/GDP-wages8-15a.png\" alt=\"\" align=\"center\" border=\"0\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Inflation-adjusted household income has dropped back to levels first reached in the 1980s:<\/b><\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What Killed the Middle Class? If the four structural trends highlighted below don&#8217;t reverse, the middle class is heading for extinction.\u00a0 Everyone knows the middle class is fading fast.\u00a0I&#8217;ve covered this issue in depth for years, for example:\u00a0Honey, I Shrunk the Middle Class: Perhaps 1\/3 of Households Qualify\u00a0(December 28, 2015) and\u00a0What Does It Take To [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[127,353,13095,2137,4924,5647,1447,1264,827,1808],"class_list":["post-19138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-charles-hugh-smith","tag-gdp","tag-gordon-t-long","tag-middle-class","tag-oftwominds","tag-productivity","tag-prosperity","tag-recession","tag-united-states","tag-wages"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19138","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19138"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19138\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19139,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19138\/revisions\/19139"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19138"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19138"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19138"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}