{"id":1685,"date":"2014-11-16T11:28:38","date_gmt":"2014-11-16T16:28:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=1685"},"modified":"2014-11-16T11:28:38","modified_gmt":"2014-11-16T16:28:38","slug":"richard-n-haass-why-the-post-cold-war-order-is-unraveling-foreign-affairs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=1685","title":{"rendered":"Richard N. Haass | Why the Post\u2013Cold War Order Is Unraveling | Foreign Affairs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/142202\/richard-n-haass\/the-unraveling\">Richard N. Haass | Why the Post\u2013Cold War Order Is Unraveling | Foreign Affairs<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\" style=\"font-size: 17px; text-align: justify; color: #231f20; line-height: 1.3em; font-family: WilliamsCaslonText; margin: 0px 0px 1.5385em 0px;\"><span class=\"dropcap\" style=\"float: left; color: #231f20; font-size: 79px; line-height: 58px; display: block; position: relative; top: 4px; margin-right: 9px;\">I<\/span>n his classic\u00a0<em>The Anarchical Society<\/em>, the scholar Hedley Bull argued that there was a perennial tension in the world between forces of order and forces of disorder, with the details of the balance between them defining each era\u2019s particular character. Sources of order include actors committed to existing international rules and arrangements and to a process for modifying them; sources of disorder include actors who reject those rules and arrangements in principle and feel free to ignore or undermine them. The balance can also be affected by global trends, to varying degrees beyond the control of governments, that create the context for actors\u2019 choices. These days, the balance between order and disorder is shifting toward the latter. Some of the reasons are structural, but some are the result of bad choices made by important players &#8212; and at least some of those can and should be corrected.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\" style=\"font-size: 17px; text-align: justify; color: #231f20; line-height: 1.3em; font-family: WilliamsCaslonText; margin: 0px 0px 1.5385em 0px;\">The chief cauldron of contemporary disorder is the Middle East. For all the comparisons that have been made to World War I or the Cold War, what is taking place in the region today most resembles the Thirty Years\u2019 War, three decades of conflict that ravaged much of Europe in the first half of the seventeenth century. As with Europe back then, in coming years, the Middle East is likely to be filled with mostly weak states unable to police large swaths of their territories, militias and terrorist groups acting with increasing sway, and both civil war and interstate strife. Sectarian and communal identities will be more powerful than national ones. Fueled by vast supplies of natural resources, powerful local actors will continue to meddle in neighboring countries\u2019 internal affairs, and major outside actors will remain unable or unwilling to stabilize the region.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\" style=\"font-size: 17px; text-align: justify; color: #231f20; line-height: 1.3em; font-family: WilliamsCaslonText; margin: 0px 0px 1.5385em 0px;\">&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Richard N. Haass | Why the Post\u2013Cold War Order Is Unraveling | Foreign Affairs. In his classic\u00a0The Anarchical Society, the scholar Hedley Bull argued that there was a perennial tension in the world between forces of order and forces of disorder, with the details of the balance between them defining each era\u2019s particular character. Sources [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[130,522,694,834,1175],"class_list":["post-1685","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitics","tag-china","tag-middle-east","tag-russia","tag-us","tag-world-order"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1685","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1685"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1685\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1686,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1685\/revisions\/1686"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1685"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1685"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1685"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}