{"id":15276,"date":"2015-12-15T08:18:38","date_gmt":"2015-12-15T13:18:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=15276"},"modified":"2015-12-15T08:18:38","modified_gmt":"2015-12-15T13:18:38","slug":"my-cyclical-approach","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=15276","title":{"rendered":"My Cyclical Approach"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"entry-header\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/archives\/40481\" target=\"_blank\">My Cyclical Approach<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"entry-meta\"><a href=\"http:\/\/armstrongeconomics-wp.s3.amazonaws.com\/2015\/12\/Gann-William-Delbert.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-40483\" src=\"http:\/\/armstrongeconomics-wp.s3.amazonaws.com\/2015\/12\/Gann-William-Delbert.jpg\" alt=\"Gann William Delbert\" width=\"288\" height=\"504\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p><strong>QUESTION:\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Marty,<\/p>\n<p>I just watched \u2018The Forecaster\u2019 on demand, I just wanted to say it was an exceptional movie. I really enjoyed seeing your story played out, and following your journey to the discovery of pi in economic cycles.<\/p>\n<p>As an avid trader myself, although not nearly as successful as you [yet, hopefully!], I\u2019m always looking to refine my process. I can\u2019t help but be reminded of W.D. Gann when I read your blog, or when I study the ECM. Is\/Was Gann ever a major influence on you\/your work? What are your thoughts on him?<\/p>\n<p>My other question pertains to the secular shift from public to private confidence in the ECM. Where do commodities fit in here? Would they be considered part of the private sector? I know we are in a secular-deflationary trend, although that would seem to be nearing an end in the next couple years. Any response is greatly appreciated.<\/p>\n<p>Best Regards,<\/p>\n<p>GD<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-video\"><span class=\"mejs-offscreen\">Video Player<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"mep_0\" class=\"mejs-container svg wp-video-shortcode mejs-video\" tabindex=\"0\">\n<div class=\"mejs-inner\">\n<div class=\"mejs-mediaelement\"><video id=\"video-40481-1\" class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" src=\"http:\/\/armstrongeconomics-wp.s3.amazonaws.com\/2015\/12\/Toast-NYC-Clip1.mp4?_=1\" preload=\"metadata\" width=\"584\" height=\"438\"><\/video><\/div>\n<div class=\"mejs-layers\"><strong><u>ANSWER:<\/u><\/strong><span class=\"apple-converted-space\"><u>\u00a0<\/u><\/span>No, I never read Gann. This is the clip that inspired me to study cycles. My history teacher showed it to me in the 9th grade \u2013 the Toast of New York. It was about the Panic of 1869 and Jim Fisk\u2019s attempt to corner the gold market where he said gold was $162. I went to the library and looked in the NY Times. It was true. That shocked me into realizing that here was gold at $162 in 1869 yet $35 when I was in school. Obviously the world was not a straight line. There was some sort of cycle at work. That was my inspiration.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mejs-layers\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"mejs-layers\">Nevertheless, anyone who wants to become a trader must learn the ways of the market. Only a fool argues the market is<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>wrong\u00a0since the market is\u00a0<strong>ALWAYS<\/strong>\u00a0right.<\/div>\n<div class=\"mejs-layers\">\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>My Cyclical Approach QUESTION:\u00a0 Marty, I just watched \u2018The Forecaster\u2019 on demand, I just wanted to say it was an exceptional movie. I really enjoyed seeing your story played out, and following your journey to the discovery of pi in economic cycles. As an avid trader myself, although not nearly as successful as you [yet, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[5496,7410,5479],"class_list":["post-15276","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-armstrong-economics","tag-cycle-theory","tag-martin-armstrong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15276","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15276"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15276\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15277,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15276\/revisions\/15277"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15276"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15276"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15276"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}