{"id":14797,"date":"2015-11-25T16:06:28","date_gmt":"2015-11-25T21:06:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=14797"},"modified":"2015-11-25T16:06:28","modified_gmt":"2015-11-25T21:06:28","slug":"sweden-warns-of-dire-consequences-from-massive-housing-bubble-heavily-indebted-households","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=14797","title":{"rendered":"Sweden Warns Of Dire &#8220;Consequences&#8221; From Massive Housing Bubble, Heavily Indebted Households"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"title\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2015-11-25\/sweden-warns-dire-consequences-massive-housing-bubble-heavily-indebted-households\" target=\"_blank\">Sweden Warns Of Dire &#8220;Consequences&#8221; From Massive Housing Bubble, Heavily Indebted Households<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>Late last month, Sweden\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2015-10-28\/sweden-launches-moar-qe-krugman-paradise-quadruples-down-after-dovish-draghi\">tripled down on QE<\/a>, as the Riksbank announced it would expand its asset purchases by SEK65 billion. Or, visually:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user92183\/imageroot\/2015\/10\/Krugman.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"494\" height=\"336\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The recent history of Swedish monetary policy is viewed by some as a cautionary tale about what can happen when a central bank attempts to normalize policy too \u201cearly.\u201d As a reminder, the Riskbank began raising rates in 2010. Reminiscing about the bank\u2019s decision four years later, Paul Krugman\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2015-03-16\/worlds-oldest-central-bank-asks-paul-krugman-shut\">blew a gasket<\/a>\u00a0on the way to accusing Sweden of being a nefarious lot of job hating heretics hell bent on perpetuating global inequality by enriching creditors at the expense of impoverished debtors.<\/p>\n<p>Of course Krugman needn\u2019t have been so hard on the Riksbank.\u00a0<strong>After all, they reversed course a little over a year later and since then, it\u2019s been nothing but easing as the repo rate fell 35 bps into negative territory.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user92183\/imageroot\/2015\/09\/20150914_sweden.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user92183\/imageroot\/2015\/09\/20150914_sweden_0.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"316\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The problem, as we&#8217;ve documented quite extensively, is that Sweden&#8217;s adventures in NIRP-dom have done little to boost inflation (to be fair, unemployment has fallen).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user92183\/imageroot\/2015\/11\/20151125_SWECPI.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user92183\/imageroot\/2015\/11\/20151125_SWECPI_0.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"313\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>For the Paul Krugmans of the world, that&#8217;s evidence of a hangover from the series of hikes the Riksbank embarked on beginning in 2010. For anyone who is sane, it&#8217;s evidence that, i) unconventional monetary policy is bumping up against the law of diminishing returns , and ii) when everyone is easing, no one gets the benefits.<\/p>\n<p><strong>But while NIRP may not be doing much for inflation, it sure has been effective at creating a rather scary looking housing bubble.\u00a0<\/strong>Have a look:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user92183\/imageroot\/2015\/09\/20150914_swehome_0.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"312\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user92183\/imageroot\/2015\/10\/SwedenInflation.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"558\" height=\"352\" \/><\/p>\n<p>We discussed this at length in &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2015-09-14\/danger-it-bursts-just-us-sweden-goes-full-krugman-gets-massive-housing-bubble\">Sweden Goes Full Krugman, Gets Massive Housing Bubble<\/a>.&#8221; Here&#8217;s what the Riskbank had to say about this after its September meeting:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Low interest rates contribute to the trends of rising house prices and increasing indebtedness in the Swedish household sector continuing.\u00a0<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sweden Warns Of Dire &#8220;Consequences&#8221; From Massive Housing Bubble, Heavily Indebted Households Late last month, Sweden\u00a0tripled down on QE, as the Riksbank announced it would expand its asset purchases by SEK65 billion. Or, visually: The recent history of Swedish monetary policy is viewed by some as a cautionary tale about what can happen when a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[172,3325,406,2340,7600,472,534,8470,1241,614,683,771,824,4318],"class_list":["post-14797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-cpi","tag-creditors","tag-housing-bubble","tag-housing-market","tag-housing-prices","tag-krugman","tag-monetary-policy","tag-nomura","tag-norway","tag-paul-krugman","tag-reuters","tag-sweden","tag-unemployment","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14797","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14797"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14797\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14798,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14797\/revisions\/14798"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14797"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14797"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14797"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}