{"id":11212,"date":"2015-08-18T18:57:49","date_gmt":"2015-08-18T23:57:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=11212"},"modified":"2015-08-18T18:57:49","modified_gmt":"2015-08-18T23:57:49","slug":"the-8-trillion-black-swan-is-chinas-shadow-banking-system-about-to-collapse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=11212","title":{"rendered":"The 8 Trillion Black Swan: Is China&#8217;s Shadow Banking System About To Collapse?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"title\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2015-08-18\/8-trillion-black-swan-chinas-shadow-banking-system-about-collapse\" target=\"_blank\">The 8 Trillion Black Swan: Is China&#8217;s Shadow Banking System About To Collapse?<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>&#8220;Wealth management products in China have come under the spotlight after a series of missed payments raised concerns over the shadow banking sector that often directs credit to firms shut out from bank lending or capital markets,&#8221;\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/2015\/02\/10\/citic-securities-wmp-idUSL4N0VK4KU20150210\">Reuters said in February<\/a>, after reporting that CITIC (China&#8217;s top brokerage), was looking at ways to repay investors after the issuer of one of the wealth management products the broker sold missed a $1.12 million payment to investors.<\/p>\n<p>That news came a little over a year after the now infamous &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2014-01-16\/chinese-stocks-tumble-contagion-concerns-first-shadow-banking-default\">Credit Equals Gold #1 Collective Trust Product<\/a>&#8221; incident and a\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2014-02-12\/it-begins-another-high-yield-chinese-shadow-banking-trust-defaults\">subsequent default scare<\/a>\u00a0on a similar product backed by loans to a struggling coal company.<\/p>\n<p>Although wealth management products and CTPs (which differ from WMPs) are often described as &#8220;murky&#8221; and &#8220;opaque&#8221;, the basic concept is fairly simple. WMPs are marketed to investors as a way to get more bang for their buck (er.. yuan) than they would with bank deposits. Funds from these investors are then invested at a higher rate. If the<strong>\u00a0assets investors&#8217; money is used to fund run into trouble, that&#8217;s not good news for WMP investors.\u00a0<\/strong>Simple.<\/p>\n<p>The main issue here is the sheer size of the market. As\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/intl\/cms\/s\/0\/a676baee-8500-11e4-ab4e-00144feabdc0.html\">FT notes<\/a>, &#8220;in 2010, as regulators tried to rein in the explosion in bank credit resulting from the country\u2019s Rmb4tn economic stimulus plan, banks turned to trusts to help them comply with lending controls.&#8221; So essentially, trusts helped banks offload credit risk at the behest of the PBoC. Here\u2019s the process whereby banks use trusts to get balance sheet relief:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user3303\/imageroot\/2013\/06-2\/chinawealth.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user3303\/imageroot\/2013\/06-2\/chinawealth.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"364\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 8 Trillion Black Swan: Is China&#8217;s Shadow Banking System About To Collapse? &#8220;Wealth management products in China have come under the spotlight after a series of missed payments raised concerns over the shadow banking sector that often directs credit to firms shut out from bank lending or capital markets,&#8221;\u00a0Reuters said in February, after reporting [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[77,130,8256,8257,175,200,374,683,6876,4318],"class_list":["post-11212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-black-swan","tag-china","tag-chinese-shadow-banking","tag-citic","tag-credit","tag-default","tag-gold","tag-reuters","tag-shadow-banking","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11212","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11212"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11212\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11213,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11212\/revisions\/11213"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}