{"id":10708,"date":"2015-08-04T08:24:20","date_gmt":"2015-08-04T13:24:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=10708"},"modified":"2015-08-04T08:24:20","modified_gmt":"2015-08-04T13:24:20","slug":"perfect-storm-engulfing-canadas-economy-perfectly-predictable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=10708","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;Perfect Storm&#8217; Engulfing Canada&#8217;s Economy Perfectly Predictable"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"title\"><a href=\"http:\/\/thetyee.ca\/Opinion\/2015\/08\/03\/Perfect-Storm-Engulfs-Canadian-Economy\/\" target=\"_blank\">&#8216;Perfect Storm&#8217; Engulfing Canada&#8217;s Economy Perfectly Predictable<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"tagline\"><strong>Years ago Andrew Nikiforuk, citing experts, warned where Stephen Harper&#8217;s priorities would lead us.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"first\">Economists, an irrational tribe of short-sighted mathematicians, are now calling Canada&#8217;s declining economic fortunes &#8220;a perfect storm.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It seems to be the only weather that complex market economies generate these days, or maybe such things are just another face of globalization.<\/p>\n<p>In any case, economists now\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/siepr.stanford.edu\/?q=\/system\/files\/shared\/pubs\/papers\/briefs\/PolicyBrief-3-15-2-wolak.pdf'%3Ewarn%3C\/a%3E%20that%20the%20slow-down%20could%20last%20a%20while:%20oil%20prices%20could%20sink%20deeper%20and%20even%20remain%20low%20for%20five%20years.%3C\/p%3E%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%3Cp%3EIn%20fact,%20the%20great%20oil%20price%20crash%20has%20already%20made%20a%20mockery%20of%20Prime%20Minister%20Stephen%20Harper's%202006%20promise%20to%20turn%20Canada%20into%20an%20energy%20superpower%20decorated%20by%20countless%20pipelines%20feeding%20insatiable%20foreign%20markets.%3C\/p%3E%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%3Cp%3EThe%20oil%20price%20drop,%20which%20has%20tanked%20liquefied%20natural%20gas%20prices,%20is%20also%20deflating%20the%20grand%20LNG%20hallucination%20of%20B.C.%20Premier%20Christy%20Clark.%3C\/p%3E%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%3Cp%3EThe%20Financial%20Post,%20a%20media%20outlet%20that%20has%20championed%20rapid%20bitumen%20development%20as%20a%20magical%20growth%20pill%20with%20few%20side%20effects,%20now%20%3Ca%20href=\">lament<\/a>\u00a0that low oil prices have upended the nation&#8217;s trade balance: &#8220;Canada has posted trade deficits every month this year, and the cumulative 2015 total of $13.6 billion is a record, exceeding the next highest, in 2009, of $2.95 billion.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>But this unique perfect storm gets darker. China, which Harperites eagerly embraced as the globe&#8217;s autocratic growth<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2015\/07\/23\/el-erian-china-no-longer-global-growth-locomotive.html\">locomotive<\/a>, has run out of steam.<\/p>\n<p>As the country&#8217;s notorious industrial revolution unwinds, China&#8217;s stock market has imploded. Communist party cadres are now\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.asianpacificpost.com\/article\/7041-vancouvers-future-now-wedded-health-chinese-communist-party.html\">moving<\/a>\u00a0their money to foreign housing markets in places like Vancouver.<\/p>\n<p>Throughout the world, analysts no longer\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.teslamotorsclub.com\/showthread.php\/48353-Are-the-Canadian-Oil-Sands-Stranded-Assets\">refer<\/a>\u00a0to bitumen as Canada&#8217;s destiny, but as a stranded asset. They view it as a poster child for over-spending, a symbol of climate chaos, a signature of peak oil and a textbook case of miserable energy returns. Nearly $60-billion worth of projects representing 1.6 million barrels of production were\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/60-billion-in-oil-sands-projects-frozen-due-to-crude-prices-collapse-report\/\">mothballed<\/a>\u00a0over the last year.<\/p>\n<p>A new\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.carbontracker.org\/in-the-media\/carbon-tracker-launches-tool-to-track-capex-cuts-as-oil-industry-slashes-spending-by-33-bln-for-2015-due-to-oil-price-slide\/\">analysis<\/a>\u00a0by oil consultancy Wood Mackenzie reveals that capital flows into the oilsands could drop by two-thirds in the next few years.<\/p>\n<p>The Bank of Canada doesn&#8217;t describe the downturn led by oil&#8217;s collapse as a recession because the &#8220;R word&#8221; smacks of negative thinking or just plain reality.<\/p>\n<p>Surely lower interest rates will magically soften the consequences of a decade of bad resource policy decisions, Ottawa&#8217;s elites now reason.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile the loonie, another volatile petro-currency, has predictably\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.canadianmanufacturing.com\/financing\/battered-loonie-hits-lowest-value-since-2009-151433\/\">dropped<\/a>\u00a0to its lowest value in six years along with the price of oil.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<p class=\"tagline\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8216;Perfect Storm&#8217; Engulfing Canada&#8217;s Economy Perfectly Predictable Years ago Andrew Nikiforuk, citing experts, warned where Stephen Harper&#8217;s priorities would lead us. Economists, an irrational tribe of short-sighted mathematicians, are now calling Canada&#8217;s declining economic fortunes &#8220;a perfect storm.&#8221; It seems to be the only weather that complex market economies generate these days, or maybe such [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3],"tags":[1082,5549,942,103,130,151,1784,4651,6387,604,7825,5499,805],"class_list":["post-10708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-energy-2","tag-alberta","tag-andrew-nikiforuk","tag-bank-of-canada","tag-canada","tag-china","tag-commodities","tag-exports","tag-globalisation","tag-harper","tag-ottawa","tag-petro-currency","tag-the-tyee","tag-trade"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10708","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10708"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10708\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10709,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10708\/revisions\/10709"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10708"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10708"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10708"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}